Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 16

The Tarleton State Texans (12-13, 3-9 WAC) are favored, by 1.5 points, versus the Abilene Christian Wildcats (12-13, 4-8 WAC) on February 16, 2026 at EECU Center -- despite the Texans struggling right now, going 2-8 in their past 10 games. The matchup's over/under is set at 136.5.

Abilene Christian beat Tarleton State 73-59 on Saturday when the two teams last played. In Abilene Christian's win, Bradyn Hubbard scored 19 points (and added six rebounds and one assist), while Kade Douglas scored 13 in the loss for Tarleton State.

Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, February 16, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: EECU Center in Stephenville, Texas
• Spread favorite: Tarleton State -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Tarleton State -122
• Moneyline underdog: Abilene Christian -110
• Over/Under: 136.5 points

How to watch Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian

• Tarleton State and its opponents have combined to outscore Monday's total (136.5 points) 13 times this season.
• This season, 13 of Abilene Christian's games have ended with a combined score higher than 136.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 146.1 points per game, 9.6 points more than the total of 136.5 for this matchup.
• These two teams give up a combined 143.8 points per game, 7.3 more than this contest's over/under.
• On average, Tarleton State has had a 148.6-point over/under in its games this season, 12.1 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Abilene Christian's games have an average over/under of 141.4 points this season, 4.9 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian

• Tarleton State has 12 wins against the spread in 21 games this year.
• So far this season, the Texans have been installed as favorites by a 1.5-point margin or more nine times and are 6-3 ATS in those games.
• Abilene Christian is 11-11-0 against the spread this season.
• The Wildcats are 7-5 ATS when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this year.
• Tarleton State is 4-4 overall, and 4-4 against the spread, at home.
• As a 1.5-point favorite or greater at home, Tarleton State is 4-2 ATS.
• On the road, Abilene Christian is 3-8 overall and 6-5 against the spread.
• Abilene Christian has one win ATS (1-1) on the road as 1.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian

• Tarleton State has won six of the nine games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• This season, the Texans have won four of their six games when favored by at least -122 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Tarleton State, based on the moneyline, is 55%.
• Abilene Christian has been victorious in four, or 33.3%, of the 12 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Wildcats have a win-loss record of 4-8 with odds of -110 or worse this year.
• Abilene Christian has an implied victory probability of 52.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.