Guardians vs. White Sox Game 1 of the ALDS Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Oct. 3

The Cleveland Guardians will host the Chicago White Sox in the opening game of the ALDS at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday. Parker Messick (12-9, 2.56 ERA) gets the start for the Guardians, and Hagen Smith (3-3, 1.29 ERA) is the expected starter for the White Sox.

With the White Sox (+129) visiting, the Guardians (-157) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The game's total is set at 7.

Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field
• Favorite: Guardians (-157)
• Underdog: White Sox (+129)
• Over/under: 7

How to Watch Guardians vs. White Sox

• TV Channel: truTV, TBS and HBO Max
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

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Guardians vs. White Sox: Betting the Moneyline

• The Guardians are 55-45 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 55% of those games).
• Chicago has come away with 55 wins in the 110 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Cleveland is 19-9 this season when entering a game favored by -157 or more on the moneyline.
• The White Sox have a win-loss record of 13-21 when favored by +129 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Guardians a 61.1% chance to win.
• The White Sox have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Guardians vs. White Sox: Betting the Spread & Total

• In the 162 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Guardians, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 77 times (77-83-2).
• So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 95 of its 164 games with a total.
• The Guardians have covered 48.8% of their games this season, going 79-83-0 against the spread.
• The White Sox have an against the spread mark of 95-69-0 in 164 games with a line this season.