Lynx vs. Liberty: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Sept. 29

The Minnesota Lynx will meet the New York Liberty in Game 2 of the first round of the WNBA Playoffs.

Minnesota's previous game ended in a loss to New York 91-75 at home. Nia Coffey (16 PTS, 85.7 FG%, 4-5 from 3PT) and Kayla McBride (14 PTS, 6 AST, 41.7 FG%, 2-7 from 3PT) led the Lynx, while Breanna Stewart (34 PTS, 12 REB, 6 AST, 2 STL, 2 BLK, 61.1 FG%, 2-3 from 3PT) and Leonie Fiebich (16 PTS, 8 REB, 85.7 FG%, 4-5 from 3PT) paced the Liberty.

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Lynx vs. Liberty Betting Lines

Snag a look below at the most recent betting lines for the Lynx-Liberty matchup.

• Favorite: Lynx (-3.5)
• Total: 173.5
• Lynx Moneyline: -158
• Liberty Moneyline: +128

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Lynx Betting Insights

• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Lynx have an implied win probability of 61.2%.
• Minnesota has won 29 of the 38 games when it was a moneyline favorite this season (76.3%).
• The Lynx have covered 22 times in 45 chances against the spread this season.
• In 24 of 45 games this season, Minnesota and its opponents have scored more than 173.5 points.
• The average point total in Lynx games this year is 173.6, 0.1 more than this matchup's over/under.

Liberty Betting Insights

• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Liberty have a 43.9% chance to win.
• This season, New York has won five out of the 11 games, or 45.5%, in which it has been the underdog.
• The Liberty have compiled an 18-27-0 ATS record so far this year.
• New York has played 27 games this season that have gone over 173.5 combined points scored.
• The average over/under for Liberty contests this season is 174.8, 1.3 more points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Lynx vs. Liberty

• Minnesota records 90.8 points per game, only 4.4 more points than the 86.4 New York gives up.
• When the Lynx put up more than 86.4 points, they are 23-3.
• In 2026, Minnesota's offense has been better at home, where it averages 92.3 points per game, compared to road games, where it records 89.4 per game. On the defensive side of the ball, it has been worse at home, where it gives up 85 points per game, versus playing on the road, where it allows opponents to average 82.4 per game.
• New York scores 5.9 more points per game (89.6) than Minnesota give up (83.7).
• The Liberty have gone 23-10 when they've scored more than 83.7 points.
• New York averages 86 points per game at home, 7.2 fewer points than away (93.2). On defense, it concedes 81.7 per game, 9.4 fewer points than on the road (91.1).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.