Sparks vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Aug. 11

The Los Angeles Sparks (12-19) welcome in the Phoenix Mercury (12-22) after dropping three straight home games. It starts at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, August 11, 2026.

In Los Angeles' last game, it lost to Golden State 84-78. The Sparks were led by Nneka Ogwumike, who finished with 16 points and seven rebounds, and Erica Wheeler, with 15 points and four assists.

Phoenix fell on the road to Washington, 95-75, in its most recent game. Its top scorers were Kahleah Copper (15 PTS, 30.8 FG%, 2-4 from 3PT) and Noemie Brochant (13 PTS, 71.4 FG%, 3-4 from 3PT).

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Sparks vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the most recent betting lines for the Sparks-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Sparks (-2.5)
• Total: 178.5
• Sparks Moneyline: -124
• Mercury Moneyline: +102

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Sparks Betting Insights

• Based on this game's moneyline, the Sparks' implied win probability is 55.4%.
• Los Angeles has gone 5-4 in games when favored on the moneyline (winning 55.6% of those games).
• The Sparks have compiled a 14-17-0 ATS record so far this year.
• In 19 of 31 games this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have combined to score more than 178.5 points.
• The average total in Sparks matchups this year is 178.0, 0.5 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 49.5% chance of a victory for the Mercury.
• This season, Phoenix has won six out of the 21 games, or 28.6%, in which it has been the underdog.
• The Mercury have covered 15 times in 34 games with a spread this year.
• Phoenix's games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 178.5 points in 11 of 34 outings.
• The average total for Mercury games this season is 169.6 points, 8.9 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Sparks vs. Mercury

• Los Angeles averages just 1.8 more points per game (89.2) than Phoenix gives up (87.4).
• When the Sparks score more than 87.4 points, they are 12-6.
• Los Angeles' offense has been much worse in home games (88.5 PPG) compared to away games (89.9 PPG). However, its defense has been better at home (92.5 PPG allowed) when compared to road games (94.6 PPG allowed).
• Phoenix's 83.6 points per game are 10 fewer points than the 93.6 Los Angeles gives up.
• The Mercury have put together a 3-2 record in games when they've scored more than 93.6 points.
• Phoenix averages 85.6 points per game at home, 3.7 more than on the road (81.9). Defensively, it concedes 88.3 per game, 1.6 more than on the road (86.7).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.