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Lightning vs. Blue Jackets NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 12

12 November 2026 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Lightning (12-4-2) will visit the Columbus Blue Jackets (7-9) on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET, in a game featuring two teams residing at opposite ends of the Eastern Conference. The sportsbooks see this as a close game, with the Lightning -115 to win on the moneyline, and the Blue Jackets at -105.

Tampa Bay grabbed a 8-3 victory on the road its last time out on Nov. 11 against the Buffalo Sabres. John Carlson led the Lightning with five points (one goal and four assists).

Columbus played at home in its last game on Nov. 10, and lost 4-1 against the Florida Panthers. Three Blue Jackets players recorded one point each in that matchup, including Ivan Provorov (one goal) and Dmitri Voronkov (one assist).

Ahead of this matchup, here's who we project to bring home the win in Thursday's hockey game.

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Lightning vs. Blue Jackets Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Columbus Blue Jackets, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Lightning 5 - Blue Jackets 2
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Blue Jackets Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Blue Jackets game.

  • Favorite: Lightning (-115)
  • Underdog: Blue Jackets (-105)

Lightning Betting Insights

  • The Lightning have been victorious in 11 of their 15 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (73.3%).
  • Tampa Bay is 11-4 (winning 73.3% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -115 or shorter.
  • The Lightning have a 53.5% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this contest.
  • In 10 of 18 matches this season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Blue Jackets Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jackets have been listed as an underdog 11 times this season, and won four, or 36.4%, of those games.
  • Columbus is 3-7 this season when entering a game as an underdog by -105 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Blue Jackets, based on the moneyline, is 51.2%.
  • Columbus has played seven games this season that finished with over 6.5 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay has scored the fourth-most goals in the NHL (71 total, 3.9 per game).
  • The Lightning have allowed 55 total goals (3.1 per game), the 10th-fewest in NHL play.
  • Its +16 goal differential is the sixth-best in the league.
  • The 14 power-play goals the Lightning have put up this season (10th-most in the NHL) have come on 66 power-play chances.
  • Tampa Bay's 21.21% power-play conversion rate ranks 18th in the league.
  • Tampa Bay has the league's 25th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (72.55%).
  • Tampa Bay has the 18th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 49.4%.
  • The Lightning have a 13.4% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks fifth in the league.

Blue Jackets Key Stats

  • Columbus has 39 goals this season (2.4 per game), 31st in the NHL.
  • The Blue Jackets allow 3.2 goals per game (51 in total), the seventh-fewest in the NHL.
  • With a goal differential of -12, the team is 26th in the league.
  • The Blue Jackets have seven power-play goals (31st in NHL) on 41 chances.
  • Columbus scores on 17.07% of its power plays, No. 27 in the NHL.
  • At 73.91%, Columbus has the 23rd-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • At 53.7%, Columbus has the NHL's sixth-best faceoff win percentage.
  • The Blue Jackets' 9.2% shooting percentage is 29th in the league.

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