UTEP vs. New Mexico State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 12

The UTEP Miners (1-1) play the New Mexico State Aggies (1-1) as 4.5-point favorites on Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET on MW+. The matchup has an over/under of 142.5.

UTEP is coming off of a 79-60 victory against Incarnate Word in its most recent outing on Sunday. Cam McDaniels' team-high 27 points paced UTEP in the victory. New Mexico State's most recent outing on Saturday ended in a 109-68 loss to Gonzaga. Mark Lavrenov's team-leading 19 points paced New Mexico State in the loss.

UTEP vs. New Mexico State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Don Haskins Center in El Paso, Texas
• Spread favorite: UTEP -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: UTEP -212
• Moneyline underdog: New Mexico State +171
• Over/Under: 142.5 points

How to watch UTEP vs. New Mexico State

• TV Channel: MW+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UTEP vs. New Mexico State

• UTEP and its opponent combined to score over 142.5 points, the current matchup's point total, in 10 of 29 games last season.
• New Mexico State played 20 games last year (69% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 142.5 points.
• The two teams averaged a combined 1.9 more points per game (144.4) a season ago than this matchup's total of 142.5 points.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 1.9 more points per game last season (144.4) than this game's over/under of 142.5 points.
• The average total UTEP had set in matchups last year was 0.8 fewer points than this outing's point total.
• New Mexico State's games in 2025 averaged a total of 147.1 points, 4.6 more than the point total in this matchup.

Betting the Spread: UTEP vs. New Mexico State

• UTEP covered 14 times in 29 games with a spread last season.
• The Miners covered the spread twice last season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
• New Mexico State won 14 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 15 times.
• The Aggies covered the spread three times last year (3-2 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
• UTEP was 7-7 overall, and 7-7 against the spread, at home last year.
• At home last year, as a 4.5-point favorite or more, UTEP had two wins ATS (2-1).
• New Mexico State was 3-8 overall, and 5-6 against the spread, in away games last season.
• On the road, New Mexico State was unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 4.5-point underdog or more.

Betting the Moneyline: UTEP vs. New Mexico State

• UTEP won 33.3% of the games last season in which it was favored on the moneyline (1-2).
• The Miners played as a moneyline favorite of -212 or shorter in just two games last season, and they split them 1-1.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, UTEP has an implied win probability of 67.9%.
• New Mexico State won four, or 30.8%, of the 13 games it played as underdogs last season.
• Last season, the Aggies were at least a +171 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that New Mexico State has a 36.9% chance to win.