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Wild vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 12

12 November 2026 By Data Skrive

The Minnesota Wild and Toronto Maple Leafs -- the former coming off a victory, the latter a defeat -- will face each other on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. The bookmakers have made the Wild heavy favorites at -180 on the moneyline, despite being away from home, and the Maple Leafs are at +150.

Minnesota won 2-1 on the road its last time out on Nov. 10 against the Montreal Canadiens. The Wild got one point apiece out of four skaters, including Kirill Kaprizov (one goal) and Matthew Boldy (one assist).

Toronto lost 6-3 at home against the Colorado Avalanche in its last game on Nov. 10. The Maple Leafs got two points apiece out of three skaters in that outing, including Easton Cowan (one goal and one assist) and Jack Roslovic (one goal and one assist).

Before watching this matchup, here is a look at which team we predict will come out on top in Thursday's action on the ice.

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Wild vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Minnesota Wild and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Wild 3 - Maple Leafs 1
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 4 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Wild vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Grab a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Wild-Maple Leafs matchup.

  • Favorite: Wild (-180)
  • Underdog: Maple Leafs (+150)

Wild Betting Insights

  • The Wild have been victorious in 11 of their 14 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (78.6%).
  • In games it has played with moneyline odds of -180 or shorter, Minnesota has compiled a 6-2 record (winning 75.0% of its games).
  • Based on the moneyline in this game, the Wild's implied win probability is 64.3%.
  • Minnesota's 20 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals five times.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

  • The Maple Leafs have been made an underdog 10 times this season, and won four of those games.
  • Toronto has played as an underdog of +150 or more one time this season and won that game.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 40.0% chance of victory for the Maple Leafs.
  • Toronto has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 11 of 20 games this season.

Wild Key Stats

  • Minnesota's 65 total goals (3.2 per game) make it the 11th-ranked scoring team in the league.
  • Defensively, the Wild have been one of the stingiest squads in NHL action, giving up 44 total goals (just 2.2 per game) to rank third.
  • It has the league's fourth-best goal differential at +21.
  • The 19 power-play goals the Wild have scored this season (fifth-most in the NHL) have come on 70 power-play chances.
  • Minnesota ranks eighth in the league with a 27.14% power-play conversion rate.
  • Minnesota kills 79.03% of opponent power plays, the 11th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Minnesota wins 48.1% of its faceoffs to rank 22nd in the NHL.
  • The Wild shoot 11.1% as a team (18th in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

  • Toronto's 67 goals on the season (3.4 per game) rank seventh in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs' total of 69 goals allowed (3.4 per game) is 28th in the league.
  • it has the 17th-ranked goal differential in the league at -2.
  • The Maple Leafs have 16 power-play goals (eighth-most in NHL) on 57 chances.
  • Toronto has the NHL's fifth-best power-play percentage (28.07%).
  • In terms of shorthanded goal, the Maple Leafs have one.
  • The 86.36% penalty-kill percentage of Toronto is fifth in the league.
  • Toronto is 10th in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (51.7%).
  • The 11.9% shooting percentage of the Maple Leafs is 11th in the league.

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