Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Nov. 12

A pair of streaking squads square off when the Minnesota Timberwolves (8-3) host the Dallas Mavericks (7-4) on November 12, 2026. The Timberwolves are putting their four-game winning streak on the line versus the Mavericks, victors in three in a row.

Thursday's game between the Timberwolves and the Mavericks sees the Timberwolves as 5.5-point favorites. The over/under is 226.5 points for the game.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, November 12, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Arena: Target Center
• Total: 226.5 points
• Spread: Timberwolves -5.5
• Moneyline: Timberwolves (-230), Mavericks (+190)

How to watch Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

• TV Channel: NBA TV, KARE 11, DAZN-MIN, KFAA, MavsTV

Betting the Over/Under: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

• The Timberwolves and their opponents have combined to score more than 226.5 points in five of 11 games this season.
• The Mavericks have played four games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 226.5 points.
• The two teams combine to score 233 points per game, 6.5 more points than this matchup's total.
• These two teams surrender a combined 217.3 points per game, 9.2 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

• Minnesota has covered 10 times in 11 chances against the spread this season.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites in three of three games this season.
• The Mavericks have put together a 7-4-0 record against the spread this season.
• Dallas has covered the spread five times this season (5-2 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
• The Timberwolves are 4-1 against the spread, and 4-1 overall, at home.
• At home, Minnesota is 3-0 ATS as a 5.5-point favorite or greater.
• In away games, the Mavericks are 2-2 overall and 3-1 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

• The Timberwolves have been the moneyline favorite six total times this season. They've gone 5-1 in those games.
• This season, the Mavericks have been the underdog seven times and won four of those games.
• Minnesota has won all three games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -230 or shorter.
• This season, Dallas has won two of its five games when it is the underdog by at least +190 on the moneyline.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Timberwolves' implied win probability is 69.7%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

• Pick ATS: Mavericks (+ 5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (226.5)
  
• Prediction: Mavericks 112 - Timberwolves 111
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!