Southern vs. Texas Southern Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 16

The Southern Jaguars (12-13, 8-4 SWAC) visit the Texas Southern Tigers (8-15, 6-6 SWAC) at H&PE Arena, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 16, 2026. The Jaguars are 2-point favorites in the game. The matchup's over/under is 153.5.

Their last time out, Southern won on Saturday 87-82 over Prairie View A&M. Terrance Dixon Jr.'s team-high 24 points led Southern in the victory. Texas Southern heads into this matchup on the heels of an 82-79 win against Grambling on Saturday. Zaire Hayes scored a team-best 17 points for Texas Southern in the victory.

Southern vs. Texas Southern Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, February 16, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: H&PE Arena in Houston, Texas
• Spread favorite: Southern -2
• Moneyline favorite: Southern -139
• Moneyline underdog: Texas Southern +105
• Over/Under: 153.5 points

How to watch Southern vs. Texas Southern

• TV Channel: SWAC TV
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Southern vs. Texas Southern

• This season, 10 of Southern's 22 games have gone over Monday's over/under of 153.5 points.
• There have been 10 Texas Southern games that finished with a combined score over 153.5 points this season.
• The Jaguars average 80.6 points per game against the Tigers' 74.6, amounting to 1.7 points over the contest's point total of 153.5.
• This matchup's over/under is 4.8 fewer points than the 158.3 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• Southern has a 159.3 average over/under in its games this season, 5.8 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 0.7 points lower than the average over/under in Texas Southern's games this season (154.2 points).

Betting the Spread: Southern vs. Texas Southern

• Against the spread, Southern is 9-13-0 this year.
• The Jaguars have been favored by 2 points or more 11 times this season and are 3-8 ATS in those games.
• Texas Southern has six wins against the spread in 21 games this year.
• The Tigers have covered the spread once this year when underdogs by 2 points or more (in 13 chances).
• Texas Southern is 4-4 against the spread, and 4-4 overall, at home.
• Texas Southern is unbeaten ATS (2-0) as a 2-point underdog or more at home.
• This season on the road, Southern is 7-9 against the spread and 5-11 overall.
• Southern has one win ATS (1-4) away from home as 2-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Southern vs. Texas Southern

• Southern has entered the game as moneyline favorites 11 times this season and won seven, or 63.6%, of those games.
• The Jaguars have entered 11 games this season favored by -139 or more and are 7-4 in those contests.
• Southern has a 58.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Texas Southern has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 15 games this year and has walked away with the win three times (20%) in those games.
• This year, the Tigers have won one of 13 games when listed as at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
• Texas Southern has an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.