Southern vs. Texas Southern Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 16

The Southern Jaguars (12-13, 8-4 SWAC) visit the Texas Southern Tigers (8-15, 6-6 SWAC) at H&PE Arena, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 16, 2026. The Jaguars are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 152.5 points.

Their last time out, Southern won on Saturday 87-82 over Prairie View A&M. Terrance Dixon Jr. scored a team-high 24 points for Southern in the victory. Texas Southern is coming off of an 82-79 victory over Grambling in its most recent outing on Saturday. Zaire Hayes' team-leading 17 points paced Texas Southern in the win.

Southern vs. Texas Southern Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, February 16, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: H&PE Arena in Houston, Texas
• Spread favorite: Southern -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: Southern -206
• Moneyline underdog: Texas Southern +167
• Over/Under: 152.5 points

How to watch Southern vs. Texas Southern

• TV Channel: SWAC TV
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Southern vs. Texas Southern

• This season, Southern's games have hit the over on this game's 152.5-point total 10 times.
• There have been 10 Texas Southern games that ended with a combined score over 152.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 155.2 points per game, 2.7 points more than the total of 152.5 for this contest.
• These two teams surrender a combined 158.3 points per game, 5.8 more than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Southern's games is 159.3 points, 6.8 more than the total of 152.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 1.7 points separates the average over/under in Texas Southern's games (154.2 points) and this contest's over/under (152.5).

Betting the Spread: Southern vs. Texas Southern

• Against the spread, Southern is 9-13-0 this year.
• The Jaguars have been favored by 3.5 points or more 11 times this season and are 3-8 ATS in those matchups.
• In Texas Southern's 21 games this season, it has six wins against the spread.
• This season, the Tigers have just one ATS win in 11 games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
• Texas Southern is 4-4 against the spread, and 4-4 overall, at home this year.
• Texas Southern is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 3.5-point underdog or more at home.
• Southern is 7-9 against the spread, and 5-11 overall, in away games.
• Southern has one win ATS (1-4) as 3.5-point favorites or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Southern vs. Texas Southern

• Southern has been the moneyline favorite in 11 games this season and won seven (63.6%) of those contests.
• The Jaguars have a record of 5-3 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -206 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Southern, based on the moneyline, is 67.3%.
• Texas Southern has come away with three wins in the 15 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Tigers have won all of their nine games in which they were named as at least a +167 moneyline underdog.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Texas Southern has a 37.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Southern vs. Texas Southern

• Pick ATS: Southern (- 3.5)
• Pick OU: Under (152.5)
  
• Prediction: Southern 78 - Texas Southern 72