Northern Iowa vs. South Dakota State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 9

The Northern Iowa Panthers (1-0) hit the court against the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (2-0) as 8.5-point favorites on Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup's over/under is set at 152.5.

In its last matchup on Thursday, Northern Iowa earned an 86-57 victory against CSU Northridge. In Northern Iowa's win, Leon Bond III led the way with a team-high 23 points (adding two rebounds and five assists). South Dakota State enters this game on the heels of a 68-62 win against Dakota State on Thursday. Jaden Jackson put up 20 points, one rebound and one assist for South Dakota State.

Northern Iowa vs. South Dakota State Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 2 p.m. ET
• Where: McLeod Center in Cedar Falls, Iowa
• Spread favorite: Northern Iowa -8.5
• Moneyline favorite: Northern Iowa -368
• Moneyline underdog: South Dakota State +287
• Over/Under: 152.5 points

How to watch Northern Iowa vs. South Dakota State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Northern Iowa vs. South Dakota State

• Out of 31 games last season, Northern Iowa played seven with over 152.5 points scored, its current matchup's over/under.
• Last year, 16 of South Dakota State's 30 matchups went over 152.5 total points scored.
• These two teams averaged a combined 152.9 points per game a season ago, 0.4 more points than the total of 152.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 11.6 fewer points per game (140.9) last season than this matchup's total of 152.5 points.
• Northern Iowa's average point total in outings last year was 140.6, 11.9 points less than the total in this game.
• South Dakota State's games in 2024 averaged an over/under of 153.1 points, 0.6 more than the point total in this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Northern Iowa vs. South Dakota State

• Northern Iowa covered 19 times in 31 matchups with a spread last season.
• When playing as at least 8.5-point favorites last season, the Panthers had an ATS record of 8-1.
• South Dakota State compiled a 14-16-0 ATS record last season.
• The Jackrabbits were an underdog by 8.5 points or more five times last year, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
• Northern Iowa was 12-4 against the spread, and 13-3 overall, at home last season.
• Northern Iowa was unbeaten ATS (8-0) as a 8.5-point favorite or more at home last year.
• South Dakota State was 4-8 overall, and 3-9 against the spread, on the road last season.

Betting the Moneyline: Northern Iowa vs. South Dakota State

• Northern Iowa finished with a 17-6 record in games it was favored on the moneyline last season (winning 73.9% of those games).
• The Panthers had a 7-1 record last year (winning 87.5% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -368 or shorter.
• Northern Iowa has a 78.6% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
• Last season, South Dakota State was the underdog seven times and won two of those games.
• Last season, the Jackrabbits won one of their five games when they were an underdog by at least +287 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that South Dakota State has a 25.8% chance to win.