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Lightning vs. Capitals NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 8

08 November 2025 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Lightning (7-5-2) host the Washington Capitals (7-6-1) on Saturday, Nov. 8, with the Lightning coming off a victory in their last game and the Capitals a loss. The Capitals are underdogs away from home, at +124, and the Lightning are -148.

Tampa Bay won 6-3 on the road its last time out on Nov. 6 against the Vegas Golden Knights. Three Lightning players had three points each, including Dominic James (one goal and two assists) and Brandon Hagel (two goals and one assist).

Washington played on the road in its last game on Nov. 6, and lost 5-3 against the Pittsburgh Penguins. Dylan Strome led the Capitals with three points (one goal and two assists) in that matchup.

As hockey play continues, prepare for the matchup by checking out which squad we project to win Saturday's game.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Lightning vs. Capitals Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Washington Capitals, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Capitals 3 - Lightning 2
  • Pick OU: Under 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.08 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Capitals Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Capitals matchup.

  • Favorite: Lightning (-148)
  • Underdog: Capitals (+124)

Lightning Betting Insights

  • The Lightning have been victorious in five of their nine games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (55.6%).
  • Tampa Bay is 4-4 (winning 50.0% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -148 or shorter.
  • The Lightning's implied moneyline win probability is 59.7% in this contest.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over 5.5 combined goals in seven of 14 games this season.

Capitals Betting Insights

  • The Capitals have been an underdog twice so far this season, and went 0-2 in those games.
  • Washington has not been set as a bigger underdog this season than the +124 moneyline for this game.
  • Oddsmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Capitals have a 44.6% chance to win.
  • Washington and its opponent have combined to score over 5.5 goals in eight of 14 games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay ranks 17th in the NHL with 43 goals scored (3.1 per game).
  • The Lightning have given up 39 total goals (2.8 per game), ranking eighth in league play for the fewest goals against.
  • It has the league's 12th-ranked goal differential at +4.
  • The seven power-play goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 24th in the NHL (on 48 power-play chances).
  • Tampa Bay ranks 26th in the league with a 14.58% power-play conversion rate.
  • Tampa Bay has the league's fourth-best penalty-kill percentage (89.36%).
  • Tampa Bay wins 44.5% of its faceoffs to rank 31st in the NHL.
  • The Lightning have an 11.6% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks 11th in the league.

Capitals Key Stats

  • With 40 goals (2.9 per game), Washington has the league's 22nd-ranked offense.
  • The Capitals have the top defense in the NHL, giving up 34 total goals (just 2.4 per game).
  • Its +6 goal differential is the 10th-best in the league.
  • The Capitals have seven power-play goals (24th in NHL) on 46 chances.
  • Washington scores on 15.22% of its power plays, No. 25 in the league.
  • Washington's has the 25th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (72.73%).
  • Washington wins 47.8% of faceoffs, 22nd-ranked in the NHL.
  • The Capitals' 9.7% shooting percentage is 25th in the league.

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