Patriots vs. Dolphins Week 8 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The New England Patriots (4-3) are solid favorites -- expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7) -- against the Miami Dolphins (1-5) in a battle of two division rivals. The matchup has an over/under of 44.5 points.

The Patriots are totaling 375.0 yards per game on offense this season (seventh in NFL), and they are surrendering 315.7 yards per game (10th) on the other side of the ball. The Dolphins rank third-worst in points per game (16.3), but they've been more productive on the other side of the ball, ranking 25th in the NFL with 26.2 points surrendered per contest.

Patriots vs. Dolphins Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• City: Miami Gardens, Florida
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
• Total: 44.5 points
• Spread: Patriots -7
• Moneyline: Patriots (-325), Dolphins (+260)

How to watch Patriots vs. Dolphins

• TV Channel: CBS

Betting the Over/Under: Patriots vs. Dolphins

• The Patriots' seven games this season have gone over this contest's total of 44.5 points four times.
• New England and its opponent have combined to go over the point total four out of seven times this season.
• Dolphins games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 44.5 points in three of six outings.
• Miami and its opponent have combined to hit the over three out of six times this season.
• These two teams average a combined 39.2 points per game, 5.3 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.
• These teams surrender 46.6 points per game combined, 2.1 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Patriots vs. Dolphins

• New England has covered the spread three times in seven games this season.
• New England has not covered the spread when favored by 7 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
• The Dolphins have covered twice in six games with a spread this season.
• Miami has been an underdog by 7 points or more four times this year, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• The Patriots have one win against the spread, and are 1-3 overall away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Patriots vs. Dolphins

• New England has been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of three times this season, and they've won each of those games.
• The Dolphins have entered the game as underdogs six times this season and won once.
• New England has played as a moneyline favorite of -325 or shorter in only one game this season, which it won.
• Miami has not won as an underdog of +260 or more on the moneyline this season in four such games.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Patriots a 76.5% chance to win.

Dunkel Prediction for Patriots vs. Dolphins

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