Twins vs. Marlins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 14

The Minnesota Twins and Miami Marlins play a rubber match on Thursday at 1:40 p.m. ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1. Zebby Matthews (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will start for the Twins, who are 19-24 this season and third in the AL Central. Braxton Garrett (0-0, 0.00 ERA) is expected to start for the Marlins, who are 20-23 and fourth in the NL East.

Oddsmakers have made the Twins a decent moneyline favorite (-125) at home over the Marlins (+106). The over/under in this contest is set at 8.5.

Twins vs. Marlins Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, May 14, 2026
• Game time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field
• Favorite: Twins (-125)
• Underdog: Marlins (+106)
• Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Twins vs. Marlins

• TV Channel: MNNT and MIAM
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Twins vs. Marlins: Betting the Moneyline

• The Twins have won 41.7% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (5-7).
• Miami has won in four, or 23.5%, of the 17 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Minnesota is 1-2 this season when entering a game favored by -125 or more on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have a mark of 4-9 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +106 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Twins have an implied moneyline win probability of 55.6% in this contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 48.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Twins vs. Marlins: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Twins have played in 43 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 25 times (25-15-3).
• Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 24 of its 43 opportunities.
• The Twins have collected a 20-23-0 record ATS this season (covering 46.5% of the time).
• The Marlins are 19-24-0 against the spread in their 43 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.