Colts vs. Dolphins Week 10 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Indianapolis Colts (2-7) will be attempting to snap a five-game losing run against the Miami Dolphins (1-7). Despite that, the Colts are slim favorites (-2.5). The predicted point total for the game is 40.5.

With 361.8 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL, the Colts have had to rely on their 27th-ranked offense (288.9 yards per contest) to keep them in games. The Dolphins rank second-worst in points per game (15.8), but they've been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 23rd in the NFL with 25.0 points allowed per contest.

Colts vs. Dolphins Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Indianapolis, Indiana
• Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
• Total: 40.5 points
• Spread: Colts -2.5
• Moneyline: Colts (-142), Dolphins (+120)

How to watch Colts vs. Dolphins

• TV Channel: CBS

Betting the Over/Under: Colts vs. Dolphins

• The Colts and their opponents have scored more than 40.5 points in seven of nine games this season.
• Indianapolis games have gone over the point total five out of nine times this season.
• The Dolphins have combined with their opponent to score more than 40.5 points in four of eight games this season.
• Miami games have hit the over four out of eight times this season.
• These teams are scoring 36.2 points per game between them, 4.3 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
• These teams give up 52.7 points per game combined, 12.2 more points than the total for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Colts vs. Dolphins

• Indianapolis has covered the spread four times in nine games this season.
• Indianapolis has covered the spread once when favored by 2.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• The Dolphins have covered three times in eight matchups with a spread this season.
• Miami has an ATS record of 3-4-1 when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs this year.
• The Colts have one win against the spread, and are 1-3 overall, at home this year.
• Indianapolis is winless ATS (0-1) as 2.5-point favorites or greater at home.
• Away from home, the Dolphins have two wins against the spread and are 1-3 overall.
• On the road, Miami has two wins ATS (2-2) as 2.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Colts vs. Dolphins

• Indianapolis has been the moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and they split the two games.
• The Dolphins have been underdogs in eight games this season and won one (12.5%) of those contests.
• Indianapolis has played as a moneyline favorite of -142 or shorter in just two games this season, and it split 1-1.
• Miami has a record of 1-7 when it is set as an underdog of +120 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Colts have an implied win probability of 58.7%.

Dunkel Prediction for Colts vs. Dolphins

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