LSU vs. Tarleton State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 5

The LSU Tigers (0-0) host the Tarleton State Texans (0-1) at Pete Maravich Assembly Center, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 5, 2025. The Tigers are 16.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has a point total of 147.5.

LSU went 14-18 during the 2024-25 season. Tarleton State dropped its last game 96-76 against SMU on Monday. Dior Johnson scored a team-best 23 points for Tarleton State in the loss.

LSU vs. Tarleton State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, November 5, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Pete Maravich Assembly Center in Baton Rouge, Louisiana
• Spread favorite: LSU -16.5
• Moneyline favorite: LSU -2439
• Moneyline underdog: Tarleton State +1175
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch LSU vs. Tarleton State

• TV Channel: SEC Network+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: LSU vs. Tarleton State

• Out of 32 games last year, LSU played 17 with over 147.5 points scored, its current matchup's total.
• Last season, six of Tarleton State's 30 matchups went over 147.5 total points scored.
• The Tigers and the Texans combined to average 10.4 fewer points per game a season ago than the over/under of 147.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 4.3 fewer points per game (143.2) last season than this matchup's over/under of 147.5 points.
• LSU's average point total in matchups last year was 147.4, 0.1 points less than the total in this game.
• Tarleton State's games in 2024 averaged an over/under of 132.9 points, 14.6 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Betting the Spread: LSU vs. Tarleton State

• LSU covered 13 times in 32 chances against the spread last season.
• The Tigers covered the spread four times last season (4-3 ATS) when playing as at least 16.5-point favorites.
• Tarleton State put together a 16-14-0 ATS record last season.
• The Texans had an ATS record of 3-2 when playing as at least 16.5-point underdogs last year.
• At home last season, LSU was 9-9 against the spread and 11-7 overall.
• As a 16.5-point favorite or greater at home last year, LSU was 4-3 ATS.
• Tarleton State was 1-14 overall, and 5-10 against the spread, in away games last season.

Betting the Moneyline: LSU vs. Tarleton State

• LSU won all 11 of the games in which it was favored on the moneyline last season.
• The Tigers won all seven games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -2439 or shorter.
• LSU has an implied moneyline win probability of 96.1% in this contest.
• Tarleton State was underdogs in 25 games last season and won five (20%) of those contests.
• Last season, the Texans were at least a +1175 underdog on the moneyline four times, losing each of those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Tarleton State has a 7.8% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for LSU vs. Tarleton State

• Pick ATS: LSU (- 16.5)
• Pick OU: Over (147.5)
  
• Prediction: LSU 88 - Tarleton State 65