Buccaneers vs. Patriots Week 10 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The New England Patriots (7-2) will be aiming to continue a six-game winning streak against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2). Despite that, the Buccaneers are slim favorites (-2.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 49.5.

The Buccaneers are compiling 323 yards per game on offense, which ranks them 17th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 16th, surrendering 321.4 yards per contest. From an offensive angle, the Patriots are posting 350.7 total yards per contest (12th-ranked). They rank ninth in the NFL defensively (299 total yards allowed per game).

Buccaneers vs. Patriots Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Tampa, Florida
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium
• Total: 49.5 points
• Spread: Buccaneers -2.5
• Moneyline: Buccaneers (-148), Patriots (+124)

How to watch Buccaneers vs. Patriots

• TV Channel: CBS (KBAK-Bakersfield, CA)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Buccaneers vs. Patriots

• In three of eight games this season, the Buccaneers and their opponents have combined to score more than 49.5 points.
• A total of four out of eight Tampa Bay games this season have hit the over.
• The Patriots and their opponents have scored more than 49.5 combined points just twice this season.
• So far this season, five of New England's nine games with a set number have gone over the point total.
• The two teams combine to score 50.9 points per game, 1.4 more points than this matchup's total.
• These teams give up 41.1 points per game combined, 8.4 points fewer than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Buccaneers vs. Patriots

• Tampa Bay is 5-3-0 ATS this season.
• Tampa Bay has covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
• The Patriots have won six games against the spread this year, failing to cover three times.
• New England has won its only game this year when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
• At home this season, the Buccaneers have one win against the spread and are 2-1 overall.
• At home, Tampa Bay has one win ATS (1-1) as 2.5-point favorites or greater.
• On the road, the Patriots are 4-0 against the spread and 4-0 overall.
• New England is unbeaten ATS (1-0) on the road as 2.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Buccaneers vs. Patriots

• Tampa Bay has not yet lost as the moneyline favorite this season, going 4-0.
• This season, the Patriots have won two out of the three games in which they've been the underdog.
• Tampa Bay has played in three games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -148 or shorter and won each time.
• New England has played as an underdog of +124 or more once this season and won that game.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Buccaneers' implied win probability is 59.7%.

Dunkel Prediction for Buccaneers vs. Patriots

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