Buccaneers vs. Patriots Week 10 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

Having won one straight, the New England Patriots (7-2) will face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2). Despite that, the Buccaneers are small favorites (-2.5). The matchup has an over/under of 48.5 points.

The Buccaneers are averaging 24.6 points per game offensively this season (15th in NFL), and they are giving up 22.3 points per game (13th) on the other side of the ball. From an offensive standpoint, the Patriots are generating 350.7 total yards per game (12th-ranked). They rank ninth in the NFL on defense (299 total yards surrendered per game).

Buccaneers vs. Patriots Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Tampa, Florida
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium
• Total: 48.5 points
• Spread: Buccaneers -2.5
• Moneyline: Buccaneers (-142), Patriots (+120)

How to watch Buccaneers vs. Patriots

• TV Channel: CBS (KBAK-Bakersfield, CA)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Buccaneers vs. Patriots

• The Buccaneers' eight games this season have gone over this contest's total of 48.5 points four times.
• Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to hit the over four out of eight times this season.
• The Patriots have combined with their opponent to score more than 48.5 points just twice this season.
• So far this year, five of New England's nine games with a set number have hit the over.
• The teams combine to score 50.9 points per game, 2.4 more points than this matchup's point total.
• Opponents of these two teams combine to average 41.1 points per game, 7.4 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Buccaneers vs. Patriots

• Tampa Bay has put together a 5-3-0 record against the spread this season.
• Tampa Bay has covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
• The Patriots have compiled a 6-3-0 record against the spread this season.
• New England has won its only game this year when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
• The Buccaneers have one win against the spread, and are 2-1 overall, at home this year.
• At home, Tampa Bay has one win ATS (1-1) as 2.5-point favorites or more.
• The Patriots are 4-0 overall, and 4-0 against the spread, away from home.
• Away from home, New England is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 2.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Buccaneers vs. Patriots

• Tampa Bay has been favored on the moneyline a total of four times this season, and they've won all of those games.
• This season, the Patriots have been the underdog three times and won two of those games.
• Tampa Bay has won all three games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -142 or shorter.
• New England has played as an underdog of +120 or more once this season and won that game.
• The Buccaneers have a 58.7% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Buccaneers vs. Patriots

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