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Buccaneers vs. Patriots Week 10 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

04 November 2025 By Data Skrive

Having taken one straight, the New England Patriots (7-2) will face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2). Despite that, the Buccaneers are slight favorites (-2.5). An over/under of 49.5 points has been established for the matchup.

The Buccaneers are putting up 323.0 yards per game offensively this year (17th in NFL), and they are allowing 321.4 yards per game (16th) on defense. In terms of total offense, the Patriots rank 12th in the NFL (350.7 total yards per game) and ninth on the other side of the ball (299.0 total yards allowed per game).

Buccaneers vs. Patriots Odds and Game Time

  • Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • City: Tampa, Florida
  • Venue: Raymond James Stadium
  • Total: 49.5 points
  • Spread: Buccaneers -2.5
  • Moneyline: Buccaneers (-148), Patriots (+124)

How to watch Buccaneers vs. Patriots

  • TV Channel: CBS (KBAK-Bakersfield, CA)
  • Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Buccaneers vs. Patriots

  • Buccaneers games this season have featured more combined points than this contest's total of 49.5 points three times.
  • Tampa Bay games have gone over the point total four out of eight times this season.
  • The Patriots and their opponents have scored more than 49.5 combined points just twice this season.
  • New England and its opponent have combined to hit the over five out of nine times this year.
  • The two teams average 50.9 points per game combined, 1.4 more points than this game's total.
  • Opponents of these teams combine to average 41.1 points per game, 8.4 fewer points than this contest's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Buccaneers vs. Patriots

  • Tampa Bay has won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover three times.
  • Tampa Bay has been favored by 2.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in two of those games.
  • The Patriots have won six games against the spread this season, failing to cover three times.
  • New England has been an underdog by 2.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
  • At home this year, the Buccaneers have one win against the spread and are 2-1 overall.
  • At home, Tampa Bay has one win ATS (1-1) as 2.5-point favorites or greater.
  • In away games, the Patriots are 4-0 overall and 4-0 against the spread.
  • New England is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 2.5-point underdogs or more on the road.
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Betting the Moneyline: Buccaneers vs. Patriots

  • Tampa Bay has won all four of the games it has been listed as the moneyline favorite this season.
  • This season, the Patriots have won two out of the three games in which they've been the underdog.
  • Tampa Bay has won all three games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -148 or shorter.
  • New England has played as an underdog of +124 or more once this season and won that game.
  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Buccaneers a 59.7% chance to win.

Dunkel Prediction for Buccaneers vs. Patriots

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Patriots (+2.5) Over (49.5) Patriots 27 - Buccaneers 26

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