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Lightning vs. Sabres NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Feb. 3

03 February 2026 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Buffalo Sabres -- both coming off wins in their last game -- will meet on Tuesday at 7:30 p.m. ET, at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa. The Sabres are underdogs away from home, at +160, and the Lightning are -192.

Tampa Bay secured a 6-5 home victory over the Boston Bruins its last time out on Feb. 1, taking the shootout 1-0. Nikita Kucherov had four points (one goal and three assists) for the Lightning.

Buffalo won its last game 5-3 on the road against the Florida Panthers on Feb. 2. Peyton Krebs had three points (one goal and two assists) in that matchup for the Sabres.

Prepare for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will emerge with the victory in Tuesday's hockey action.

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Lightning vs. Sabres Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Buffalo Sabres, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Lightning 3 - Sabres 2
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.03 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Sabres Moneylines

Take a look below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Sabres game.

  • Favorite: Lightning (-192)
  • Underdog: Sabres (+160)

Lightning Betting Insights

  • The Lightning are 28-15 when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • Tampa Bay is 6-3 when it has played with moneyline odds of -192 or shorter (66.7% win percentage).
  • The Lightning's implied moneyline win probability is 65.8% in this contest.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 22 of 53 games this season.

Sabres Betting Insights

  • The Sabres have been listed as an underdog 28 times this season, and won 16, or 57.1%, of those games.
  • Buffalo has a record of 2-3 when it's been set as an underdog of +160 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 38.5% chance of victory for the Sabres.
  • Buffalo and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 26 of 55 games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay's 185 total goals (3.5 per game) make it the eighth-highest scoring team in the NHL.
  • The Lightning have allowed 134 total goals (2.5 per game), ranking second in league action for the fewest goals against.
  • Its +51 goal differential is the second-best in the league.
  • The 36 power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season rank 13th in the NHL (on 168 power-play chances).
  • Tampa Bay's 21.43% power-play conversion rate ranks 14th in the league.
  • The three shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 20th among NHL teams.
  • Tampa Bay kills 84.24% of opponent power plays, the third-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Tampa Bay wins 46.9% of its faceoffs (30th in NHL).
  • The Lightning have a 12.5% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks third in the league.

Sabres Key Stats

  • With 187 goals (3.4 per game), Buffalo has the league's fifth-best offense.
  • The Sabres' total of 167 goals given up (3.0 per game) is 13th in the NHL.
  • It has the eighth-best goal differential in the league at +20.
  • The Sabres have 32 power-play goals (on 161 chances), 16th in the NHL.
  • Buffalo scores on 19.88% of its power plays, No. 18 in the league.
  • This season, the Sabres have seven shorthanded goals (second in league).
  • At 82.55%, Buffalo has the eighth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Buffalo wins 44.3% of faceoffs, 32nd-ranked in the NHL.
  • The Sabres' 12.3% shooting percentage is fifth in the league.

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