Jaguars vs. Patriots Week 3 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
23 September 2026

The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) are considered favorites (-2.5) according to the oddsmakers ahead of their game versus the New England Patriots (1-1) on September 27, 2026, starting at 1 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. The total for this one is set at 45.5 points.
The Jaguars are totaling 23.5 points per game on offense, which ranks them 15th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank sixth, surrendering 15.0 points per contest. The Patriots' defense has been paving the way for the team, as they rank best in the NFL with 8.0 points allowed per contest. In terms of offense, they are posting 15.0 points per game, which ranks 26th.
Jaguars vs. Patriots Odds and Game Time
- Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- City: Jacksonville, Florida
- Venue: EverBank Stadium
- Total: 45.5 points
- Spread: Jaguars -2.5
- Moneyline: Jaguars (-155), Patriots (+130)
How to watch Jaguars vs. Patriots
- TV Channel: CBS
Betting the Over/Under: Jaguars vs. Patriots
- Jacksonville games have hit the over once this season.
- New England has yet to hit the over in any game this season.
- The teams combine to score 38.5 points per game, 7.0 fewer points than this matchup's point total.
- Opponents of these teams average 23 points per game combined, 22.5 fewer than this matchup's total.
Betting the Spread: Jaguars vs. Patriots
- Jacksonville has covered the spread once in two games this season.
- Jacksonville has won their only game this season when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
- The Patriots have won one game against the spread this year.
- New England has not covered the spread this season (0-0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
Betting the Moneyline: Jaguars vs. Patriots
- Jacksonville has been the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they won.
- The Patriots lost the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
- Jacksonville has played as a moneyline favorite of -155 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.
- New England has played as an underdog of +130 or more once this season and lost that game.
- Based on this game's moneyline, the Jaguars' implied win probability is 60.8%.
Dunkel Prediction for Jaguars vs. Patriots
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Jaguars (-2.5) | Under (45.5) | Jaguars 24 - Patriots 10 |
For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.
