Jaguars vs. Patriots Week 3 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
23 September 2026

The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) are considered favorites (-3) according to the point spread ahead of their game against the New England Patriots (1-1) on September 27, 2026, starting at 1 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 46.5.
The Jaguars rank 17th in total offense (314.0 yards per game) and 17th in total defense (332.0 yards allowed per game) this year. The Patriots rank 19th in the NFL with 302.0 total yards per contest, but they've been led by their defense, which ranks fourth-best by allowing just 260.0 total yards per game.
Jaguars vs. Patriots Odds and Game Time
- Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- City: Jacksonville, Florida
- Venue: EverBank Stadium
- Total: 46.5 points
- Spread: Jaguars -3
- Moneyline: Jaguars (-155), Patriots (+130)
How to watch Jaguars vs. Patriots
- TV Channel: CBS
Betting the Over/Under: Jaguars vs. Patriots
- Games featuring Jacksonville have gone over the point total once this season.
- So far this season, no New England game has hit the over.
- The teams average 38.5 points per game combined, 8.0 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
- Opponents of these teams combine to average 23 points per game, 23.5 fewer points than this matchup's total.
Betting the Spread: Jaguars vs. Patriots
- Jacksonville has won one game against the spread this season.
- Jacksonville has been favored by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- The Patriots have a record of 1-0-1 against the spread this year.
- New England has not covered the spread when an underdog by 3 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
Betting the Moneyline: Jaguars vs. Patriots
- Jacksonville has been the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they won.
- The Patriots lost the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
- Jacksonville has played as a moneyline favorite of -155 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.
- New England has played as an underdog of +130 or more once this season and lost that game.
- Based on this game's moneyline, the Jaguars have an implied win probability of 60.8%.
Dunkel Prediction for Jaguars vs. Patriots
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Jaguars (-3) | Under (46.5) | Jaguars 24 - Patriots 10 |
For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.
