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Lightning vs. Jets NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 29

29 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Lightning (33-14-4) host the Winnipeg Jets (21-24-7) on Thursday, Jan. 29, with both coming off a win. The bookmakers have made the Lightning solid favorites at -185 on the moneyline, and the Jets are at +154.

Tampa Bay won 2-0 at home its last time out on Jan. 26 against the Utah Mammoth. Nikita Kucherov led the Lightning with two points (two assists).

In its most recent game on Jan. 27, Winnipeg claimed a 4-3 road victory against the New Jersey Devils. Mark Scheifele (one goal and one assist) and Kyle Connor (two assists) were among the three Jets skaters who put up two points each in that outing.

Prepare for this showdown with a glimpse at who we predict will emerge with the victory in Thursday's contest.

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Lightning vs. Jets Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Winnipeg Jets, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Lightning 3 - Jets 1
  • Pick OU: Under 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 4.09 goals)

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Lightning vs. Jets Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Jets matchup.

  • Favorite: Lightning (-185)
  • Underdog: Jets (+154)

Lightning Betting Insights

  • The Lightning have been victorious in 26 of their 41 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (63.4%).
  • When it has played with moneyline odds of -185 or shorter, Tampa Bay is 6-3 (winning 66.7% of the time).
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Lightning have an implied probability of 64.9% to win.
  • Tampa Bay's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 5.5 goals 27 times.

Jets Betting Insights

  • This season the Jets have won four of the 19 games, or 21.1%, in which they've been an underdog.
  • Winnipeg has been at least a +154 moneyline underdog three times this season, and lost each of those games.
  • The moneyline set for this contest implies a 39.4% chance of victory for the Jets.
  • Winnipeg has combined with its opponent to score more than 5.5 goals in 33 of 52 games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay's 176 total goals (3.4 per game) rank fifth in the NHL.
  • The Lightning have allowed 128 total goals (2.5 per game), the second-fewest in league play.
  • It has the league's second-best goal differential at +48.
  • The 33 power-play goals the Lightning have put up this season (to rank 13th in the NHL) have come on 159 power-play chances.
  • Tampa Bay has the league's 16th-ranked power-play conversion rate (20.75%).
  • The Lightning have capitalized with three shorthanded goals this season (19th among NHL teams).
  • Tampa Bay's 84.38% penalty-kill success rate is the third-best in the league.
  • Tampa Bay wins 46.5% of its faceoffs (30th in NHL).
  • The Lightning make 12.6% of their shots (third in the league).

Jets Key Stats

  • Winnipeg has 152 goals this season (2.9 per game), 21st in the league.
  • The Jets' total of 159 goals allowed (3.1 per game) is 12th in the NHL.
  • it has the 19th-ranked goal differential in the league at -7.
  • The Jets have 28 power-play goals (on 143 chances), 22nd in the NHL.
  • Winnipeg's power-play percentage (19.58) puts the team 18th in the league.
  • This season, the Jets have five shorthanded goals (eighth in NHL).
  • Winnipeg's has the 17th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (79.11%).
  • Winnipeg wins 50.7% of faceoffs, 11th-ranked in the NHL.
  • With a shooting percentage of 11.2%, the Jets are 14th in the league.

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