Jaguars vs. Texans Week 10 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
04 November 2025

In a matchup of two division rivals, the Jacksonville Jaguars (5-3) will meet the Houston Texans (3-5). The Jaguars are slim favorites (-1.5). The predicted point total for the game is 37.5.
The Jaguars rank 14th in total offense (338.9 yards per game) and 22nd in total defense (336.1 yards allowed per game) this season. The Texans rank 19th in the NFL with 321.1 total yards per game, but they've been carried by their defense, which ranks best by giving up just 267.4 total yards per game.
Jaguars vs. Texans Odds and Game Time
- Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- City: Houston, Texas
- Venue: NRG Stadium
- Total: 37.5 points
- Spread: Jaguars -1.5
- Moneyline: Jaguars (-122), Texans (+102)
How to watch Jaguars vs. Texans
- TV Channel: CBS (KZTV-Corpus Christi, TX)
- Live Stream: Fubo
Betting the Over/Under: Jaguars vs. Texans
- The Jaguars and their opponents have gone over 37.5 total points five times this season.
- A total of four out of eight Jacksonville games this season have gone over the point total.
- The Texans have played four games this season that have gone over 37.5 combined points scored.
- This season, games featuring Houston have hit the over just twice.
- The two teams combine to score 43 points per game, 5.5 more points than this matchup's total.
- These teams surrender 38.1 points per game combined, 0.6 more points than this matchup's over/under.
Betting the Spread: Jaguars vs. Texans
- Jacksonville has won four games against the spread this season, while failing to cover four times.
- Jacksonville has covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
- The Texans have put together a 3-5-0 record against the spread this season.
- Houston has not covered the spread when an underdog by 1.5 points or more this year (in three opportunities).
- At home this season, the Texans have two wins against the spread and are 2-2 overall.
- The Jaguars have one win against the spread, and are 2-1 overall away from home.
- Away from home, Jacksonville is winless ATS (0-1) as 1.5-point favorites or more.
Betting the Moneyline: Jaguars vs. Texans
- Jacksonville has been the moneyline favorite a total of three times this season, and they've won all of those games.
- This season, the Texans have been listed as the underdog in three games and failed to win any of those contests.
- Jacksonville has played three times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -122 or shorter, and claimed a victory in each game.
- Houston has not won as an underdog of +102 or more on the moneyline this season in three such games.
- Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Jaguars' implied win probability is 55.0%.
Dunkel Prediction for Jaguars vs. Texans
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Texans (+1.5) | Under (37.5) | Texans 22 - Jaguars 10 |
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