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Golden Knights vs. Lightning NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 6

06 November 2025 By Data Skrive

The Vegas Golden Knights (7-2-3) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (6-5-2) on Thursday, Nov. 6, with the Golden Knights coming off a victory in their last game and the Lightning a loss. The Lightning are underdogs on the road, at +105, and the Golden Knights are -125.

Vegas won 1-0 at home its last time out on Nov. 4 against the Detroit Red Wings. Three Golden Knights skaters had one point each, including Brandon Saad (one assist) and Jeremy Lauzon (one assist).

Tampa Bay lost 3-2 on the road against the Colorado Avalanche in its most recent game on Nov. 4. Four Lightning skaters recorded one point each in that matchup, including Nikita Kucherov (one goal) and Charle-Edouard D'Astous (one assist).

As hockey action continues, get ready for the contest by checking out which squad we project to capture the win in Thursday's game.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Golden Knights vs. Lightning Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Vegas Golden Knights and Tampa Bay Lightning, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Lightning 3 - Golden Knights 2
  • Pick OU: Under 7.5 (Dunkel projecting 4.92 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Golden Knights vs. Lightning Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Golden Knights-Lightning matchup.

  • Favorite: Golden Knights (-125)
  • Underdog: Lightning (+105)

Golden Knights Betting Insights

  • The Golden Knights are 5-3 when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • When playing with moneyline odds of -125 or shorter, Vegas has compiled a 5-2 record (winning 71.4% of its games).
  • The Golden Knights' implied moneyline win probability is 55.6% in this contest.
  • In three games this season, Vegas and its opponent have combined for more than 7.5 goals.

Lightning Betting Insights

  • The Lightning have won one of the four games they have played as an underdog this season.
  • Tampa Bay has played as a moneyline underdog of +105 or longer twice so far this season. They lost both games.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 48.8% chance of victory for the Lightning.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to score more than 7.5 goals just twice this season.

Golden Knights Key Stats

  • Vegas' 40 total goals (3.3 per game) make it the 17th-ranked scoring team in the league.
  • Defensively, the Golden Knights are one of the stingiest squads in league play, allowing 31 total goals (2.6 per game) to rank second.
  • Its +9 goal differential is the sixth-best in the league.
  • The 11 power-play goals the Golden Knights have scored this season are sixth-best in the NHL (on 44 power-play chances).
  • Vegas has the league's eighth-best power-play conversion rate (25%).
  • The Golden Knights have recorded one shorthanded goal this season (10th among NHL teams).
  • Vegas kills 81.25% of opponent power plays, the 15th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Vegas has the second-best faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 55.1%.
  • The Golden Knights shoot 11.7% as a team (11th in the league).

Lightning Key Stats

  • With 37 goals (2.8 per game), Tampa Bay has the league's 24th-ranked offense.
  • The Lightning have one of the top defenses in the NHL, allowing 36 total goals (2.8 per game), eighth in the NHL.
  • With a goal differential of +1, the team is 13th in the league.
  • With six power-play goals (on 44 chances), the Lightning are 28th in the NHL.
  • Tampa Bay has the league's 28th-ranked power-play percentage (13.64%).
  • The 88.64% penalty-kill percentage of Tampa Bay is fourth in the league.
  • At 44.8%, Tampa Bay has the league's 31st-ranked faceoff win rate.
  • With a shooting percentage of 10.8%, the Lightning are 16th in the league.

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