Texans vs. Jaguars Week 10 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
04 November 2025

In a battle of two division rivals, the Houston Texans (3-5) will play the Jacksonville Jaguars (5-3). The Texans are slim favorites (-1.5). An over/under of 38.5 points has been set for the matchup.
The Texans sport the 19th-ranked offense this season (321.1 yards per game), and they've been even better defensively, ranking best with just 267.4 yards allowed per game. With 338.9 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Jaguars rank 14th in the NFL in 2025. Defensively, they rank 22nd, giving up 336.1 total yards per contest.
Texans vs. Jaguars Odds and Game Time
- Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- City: Houston, Texas
- Venue: NRG Stadium
- Total: 38.5 points
- Spread: Texans -1.5
- Moneyline: Texans (-125), Jaguars (+105)
How to watch Texans vs. Jaguars
- TV Channel: CBS (KZTV-Corpus Christi, TX)
- Live Stream: Fubo
Betting the Over/Under: Texans vs. Jaguars
- Texans games this season have gone over this contest's total of 38.5 points four times.
- Houston games have hit the over just twice this season.
- The Jaguars have played five games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 38.5 points.
- So far this season, four of Jacksonville's eight games with a set number have hit the over.
- The two teams combine to score 43 points per game, 4.5 more points than this matchup's total.
- Opponents of these teams score 38.1 points per game combined, 0.4 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
Betting the Spread: Texans vs. Jaguars
- Houston has won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover five times.
- Houston has been favored by 1.5 points or more five times this season, and covered the spread in three of those contests.
- The Jaguars are 4-4-0 ATS this season.
- Jacksonville has covered the spread twice as an underdog by 1.5 points or more this year (in five opportunities).
- The Texans have two wins against the spread, and are 2-2 overall, at home this season.
- At home, as 1.5-point favorites or more, Houston has two wins ATS (2-2).
- The Jaguars are 2-1 overall, with only one win against the spread, in away games.
- Jacksonville has one win ATS (1-1) as 1.5-point underdogs or more away from home.
Betting the Moneyline: Texans vs. Jaguars
- Houston has won three of the five games it was the moneyline favorite this season (60%).
- The Jaguars have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won twice.
- When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -125 or shorter, Houston has a record of 3-2 (60%).
- Jacksonville has a record of 2-2 in games where sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +105 on the moneyline.
- Based on this contest's moneyline, the Texans have an implied win probability of 55.6%.
Dunkel Prediction for Texans vs. Jaguars
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Texans (-1.5) | Under (38.5) | Texans 22 - Jaguars 10 |
For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.
