Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 16

The Alabama State Hornets (8-17, 5-7 SWAC) play the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (1-24, 0-11 SWAC) on February 16, 2026 at Dunn-Oliver Acadome. The Delta Devils are underdogs by a 15-point margin as they enter the matchup with a 4-6 record in their last 10 games. The over/under for the matchup is 140.5.

Alabama State came out on top in its last matchup 79-61 against UAPB on Saturday. Jerquarius Stanback's team-leading 19 points paced Alabama State in the victory. Mississippi Valley State is coming off of a 72-65 loss to Alabama A&M in its last game on Saturday. Michael James scored a team-high 21 points for Mississippi Valley State in the loss.

Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, February 16, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Dunn-Oliver Acadome in Montgomery, Alabama
• Spread favorite: Alabama State -15
• Moneyline favorite: Alabama State -3333
• Moneyline underdog: Mississippi Valley State +1100
• Over/Under: 140.5 points

How to watch Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• TV Channel: SWAC TV
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Alabama State and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (140.5 points) 16 times this season.
• There have been 16 Mississippi Valley State games that finished with a combined score over 140.5 points this season.
• The Hornets average 73.4 points per game against the Delta Devils' 64.2, totaling 2.9 points under the matchup's total of 140.5.
• This matchup's point total is 22.8 fewer points than the 163.3 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• On average, Alabama State has seen a 151.7-point over/under in its games this season, 11.2 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• Mississippi Valley State's games have an average over/under of 149.2 points this season, 8.7 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Against the spread, Alabama State is 11-13-0 this season.
• Mississippi Valley State is 12-12-0 against the spread this year.
• The Delta Devils have been underdogs by 15 points or more 16 times this year and are 11-5 ATS in those contests.
• Alabama State is 3-2 overall, and 3-2 against the spread, at home.
• This season in away games, Mississippi Valley State is 8-6 against the spread and 0-14 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• This season, Alabama State has been moneyline favorites six times and won four of those games.
• The Hornets have not been a bigger favorite this season than the -3333 moneyline set for this game.
• Alabama State has a 97.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Mississippi Valley State has been moneyline underdogs in 17 games this season, however, it has failed to come away with a win in any of those games.
• The Delta Devils have won all of their six games in which they were named as at least a +1100 moneyline underdog.
• Mississippi Valley State has an implied victory probability of 8.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.