UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Southern Utah Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 8

The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (0-1) visit the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (0-1) at America First Event Center, beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 8, 2025. The Thunderbirds are 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The point total for the matchup is 160.5.

UT Rio Grande Valley dropped its last outing 96-81 against Baylor on Monday. Marvin McGhee III's team-high 16 points paced UT Rio Grande Valley in the loss. Southern Utah dropped its last outing 81-64 against Arizona State on Tuesday. Elijah Duval scored 17 points in Southern Utah's loss, leading the team.

UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Southern Utah Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: America First Event Center in Cedar City, Utah
• Spread favorite: UT Rio Grande Valley -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: UT Rio Grande Valley -128
• Moneyline underdog: Southern Utah +106
• Over/Under: 160.5 points

How to watch UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Southern Utah

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Southern Utah

• UT Rio Grande Valley and its opponent combined to score over 160.5 points, the current matchup's total, in eight of 27 games last year.
• Southern Utah played only one game last year that had more than 160.5 total points scored.
• The Vaqueros and the Thunderbirds combined to average 14.0 fewer points per game a season ago than the over/under of 160.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 12.8 fewer points per game (147.7) last season than this game's total of 160.5 points.
• The average point total for UT Rio Grande Valley's games last year was 9.8 fewer points than the over/under of 160.5 in this matchup.
• The average point total for Southern Utah in 2024 was 17.0 points lower than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Southern Utah

• UT Rio Grande Valley covered 13 times in 27 games with a spread last season.
• The Vaqueros covered the spread six times last season (6-8 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
• Southern Utah went 11-17-0 ATS last year.
• The Thunderbirds were 7-12 ATS last year when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
• At home last season, Southern Utah was 5-7 overall and 3-9 against the spread.
• At home last season, as a 1.5-point underdog or more, Southern Utah had two wins ATS (2-5).
• Away from home last season, UT Rio Grande Valley was 6-7 against the spread and 2-11 overall.
• Away from home, UT Rio Grande Valley had one win ATS (1-2) as a 1.5-point favorite or more.

Betting the Moneyline: UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Southern Utah

• UT Rio Grande Valley was favored on the moneyline 14 total times last season. It finished 9-5 in those games.
• The Vaqueros had an 8-5 record last year (winning 61.5% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -128 or shorter.
• Based on this game's moneyline, UT Rio Grande Valley has an implied win probability of 56.1%.
• Southern Utah was underdogs in 19 games last season and won two (10.5%) of those contests.
• Last season, the Thunderbirds won two of their 18 games, or 11.1%, when they were an underdog by at least +106 on the moneyline.
• Southern Utah has a 48.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Dunkel Index Prediction for UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Southern Utah

• Pick ATS: Southern Utah (+ 1.5)
• Pick OU: Over (160.5)
  
• Prediction: Southern Utah 83 - UT Rio Grande Valley 80