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Rays vs. Astros Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 12

12 September 2026 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Rays are looking for another big outing from a batter on a hot streak versus the Houston Astros on Saturday at 6:10 p.m. ET, at Tropicana Field. Victor Mesa Jr. is on a three-game homer streak. Ian Seymour (9-6, 4.33 ERA) will start for the Rays, who are 88-59 this season and first in the AL East. Peter Lambert (8-8, 3.67 ERA) is starting for the Astros, who are 75-73 and first in the AL West.

At home, the Rays are favored to win on the moneyline (-147) over the Astros (+120). The game has an over/under set at 8 runs.

Rays vs. Astros Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Game time: 6:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
  • Stadium: Tropicana Field
  • Favorite: Rays (-147)
  • Underdog: Astros (+120)
  • Over/under: 8

How to Watch Rays vs. Astros

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Rays vs. Astros: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Rays have compiled a 60-36 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 62.5% of those games).
  • Houston has won in 43, or 51.8%, of the 83 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 22-13, a 62.9% win rate, when favored by -147 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • This year, the Astros have won 14 of 29 games when listed as at least +120 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Rays' implied win probability is 59.5%.
  • The Astros have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Rays vs. Astros: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Rays have combined with opponents to go over the total 67 times this season for a 67-73-7 record against the over/under.
  • So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 73 of its 148 games with a total.
  • The Rays have collected a 79-68-0 record ATS this season.
  • The Astros have posted a record of 77-71-0 against the spread this season.
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