SMU vs. Ball State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 13

The SMU Mustangs (3-0) host the Ball State Cardinals (1-2) at Moody Coliseum, beginning at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, November 13, 2026. The Cardinals are 22.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's point total is set at 150.5.

SMU heads into this game following a 98-63 win against Prairie View A&M on Tuesday. In the win, Jaden Toombs led SMU with 18 points. Ball State heads into this matchup following an 89-64 victory over Brescia on Monday. Sean Blake recorded 20 points, two rebounds and five assists for Ball State.

SMU vs. Ball State Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas
• Spread favorite: SMU -22.5
• Moneyline favorite: SMU -11111
• Moneyline underdog: Ball State +2225
• Over/Under: 150.5 points

How to watch SMU vs. Ball State

• TV Channel: ACC Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: SMU vs. Ball State

• SMU's games went over 150.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, 28 times (out of 34) last season.
• Six of Ball State's 29 games last season went over 150.5 total points scored.
• The Mustangs and the Cardinals combined to average 1.1 more points per game a season ago than the over/under of 150.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams averaged a combined 147.4 points per game last season, 3.1 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
• SMU's average point total in outings last year was 162.0, 11.5 points higher than the total in this game.
• The average total for Ball State's games in 2025 was 13.5 fewer points than the point total of 150.5 for this game.

Betting the Spread: SMU vs. Ball State

• SMU compiled a 15-18-1 record against the spread last season.
• The Mustangs covered the spread once last season (1-3 ATS) when playing as at least 22.5-point favorites.
• Ball State went 14-15-0 ATS last year.
• The Cardinals were an underdog by 22.5 points or more last season once, and failed to cover the spread.
• At home last season, SMU was 15-3 overall and 8-10 against the spread.
• At home last season, as a 22.5-point favorite or greater, SMU had one win ATS (1-3).
• In away games last season, Ball State was 4-11 overall and 6-9 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: SMU vs. Ball State

• SMU won 17 of the 22 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (77.3%).
• The Mustangs did not play a game last season with moneyline odds of -11111 or shorter.
• Based on this game's moneyline, SMU has an implied win probability of 99.1%.
• Ball State was underdogs in 21 games last season and won five (23.8%) of those contests.
• The Cardinals played as an underdog of +2225 or more once last season and lost that game.
• The implied probability of a win by Ball State, based on the moneyline, is 4.3%.