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Mariners vs. Astros Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 14

14 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Houston Astros host the Seattle Mariners at 2:10 p.m. ET on Thursday. Luis Castillo (0-4, 6.57 ERA) gets the start for the Mariners, who are 21-23 this season and third in the AL West. Mike Burrows (2-4, 5.04 ERA) is expected to start for the Astros, who are 17-27 and fourth in the AL West.

Sportsbooks have set the Mariners as the moderate moneyline favorites (-137) on the road versus the Astros (+116). The total for the Mariners-Astros game is set at 9.

Mariners vs. Astros Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Thursday, May 14, 2026
  • Game time: 2:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Daikin Park
  • Favorite: Mariners (-137)
  • Underdog: Astros (+116)
  • Over/under: 9

How to Watch Mariners vs. Astros

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Mariners vs. Astros: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Mariners have compiled a 20-20 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).
  • Houston has been pegged as an underdog in 28 games this year and has walked away with the win 12 times (42.9%) in those games.
  • Seattle has a record of 15-10, a 60% win rate, when favored by -137 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Astros have a win-loss record of 5-11 when favored by +116 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Mariners have an implied moneyline win probability of 57.8% in this game.
  • The Astros have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mariners vs. Astros: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Mariners have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 19 times this season for a 19-24-1 record against the over/under.
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 27 of its 44 games with a total this season.
  • The Mariners have a 16-28-0 record ATS this season (covering just 36.4% of the time).
  • The Astros are 17-27-0 against the spread in their 44 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
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