Sacramento State vs. UC Davis Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 14

The Sacramento State Hornets (1-1) host the UC Davis Aggies (2-1) at Hornet Pavilion, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026. The Aggies are 3.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 160.5 points.

Their last time out, Sacramento State lost 83-77 to Santa Clara on Saturday. Mikey Williams totaled 21 points, six rebounds and four assists for Sacramento State. UC Davis' most recent contest on Wednesday ended in an 81-69 victory over Incarnate Word. Brayden Fagbemi's team-leading 21 points paced UC Davis in the victory.

Sacramento State vs. UC Davis Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Hornet Pavilion in Sacramento, California
• Spread favorite: Sacramento State -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: Sacramento State -162
• Moneyline underdog: UC Davis +133
• Over/Under: 160.5 points

How to watch Sacramento State vs. UC Davis

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Sacramento State vs. UC Davis

• Last season, Sacramento State's games went over 160.5 points scored, its current matchup's total, 15 (out of 29) times.
• UC Davis played eight games last season (25.8% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 160.5 points.
• The Hornets and the Aggies combined to average 5.2 fewer points per game a season ago than the total of 160.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams averaged a combined 157.1 points per game last season, 3.4 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
• The average total Sacramento State had set in matchups last year was 0.8 fewer points than this outing's point total.
• The average point total for UC Davis in 2025 was 7.8 points lower than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Sacramento State vs. UC Davis

• Sacramento State covered 12 times in 29 chances against the spread last season.
• The Hornets were favored by 3.5 points or more three times last season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
• UC Davis went 18-13-0 ATS last year.
• The Aggies had an ATS record of 6-4 when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs last year.
• At home last year, Sacramento State was 8-4 against the spread and 8-4 overall.
• Sacramento State had one win ATS (1-2) as a 3.5-point favorite or greater at home last year.
• Last season away from home, UC Davis was 8-7 against the spread and 6-9 overall.
• On the road, UC Davis was unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 3.5-point underdog or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Sacramento State vs. UC Davis

• Sacramento State won all three of the games in which it was the moneyline favorite last season.
• The Hornets played as a moneyline favorite of -162 or shorter in just two games last season, and they won both.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives Sacramento State a 61.8% chance to win.
• UC Davis won six, or 33.3%, of the 18 games it played as underdogs last season.
• The Aggies had a record of 6-6 in games where bookmakers had them as underdogs of at least +133 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 42.9% chance of a victory for UC Davis.