Pistons vs. Heat Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Nov. 14

The Detroit Pistons (8-3) will attempt to continue a three-game road winning run when squaring off against the Miami Heat (6-6) on November 14, 2026 at Kaseya Center.

Detroit is a 4.5-point favorite against Miami when the Pistons play the Heat on Saturday. The matchup's point total is 229.5.

Pistons vs. Heat Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Arena: Kaseya Center
• Total: 229.5 points
• Spread: Pistons -4.5
• Moneyline: Pistons (-174), Heat (+146)

How to watch Pistons vs. Heat

• TV Channel: NBA TV, WMYD, DAZN-DET, WPLG, Local10+

Betting the Over/Under: Pistons vs. Heat

• Pistons games this season have featured more combined points than this contest's total of 229.5 points five times.
• Heat games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 229.5 points in seven of 12 outings.
• These teams rack up a combined 232.7 points per game, 3.2 more points than this matchup's over/under.
• Combined, these teams give up 227.9 points per game, 1.6 fewer points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Pistons vs. Heat

• Detroit has covered seven times in 11 matchups with a spread this season.
• The Pistons have covered the spread four times this season (4-2 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
• The Heat are 3-9-0 ATS this year.
• At home this year, the Heat have two wins against the spread and is 2-3 overall.
• Miami has one win ATS (1-1) as a 4.5-point underdog or greater at home.
• On the road, the Pistons are 4-2 against the spread, and 5-1 overall.
• Detroit has two wins ATS (2-1) as 4.5-point favorites or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Pistons vs. Heat

• The Pistons have been favored on the moneyline nine total times this season. They've finished 7-2 in those games.
• This season, the Heat have been the underdog four times and won one of those games.
• Detroit has a record of 5-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -174 or shorter (winning 83.3%).
• Miami has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +146.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Pistons have an implied win probability of 63.5%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Pistons vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Pistons (- 4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (229.5)
  
• Prediction: Pistons 116 - Heat 108
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!