UT Arlington vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 14

The UT Arlington Mavericks (3-1) host the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (2-1) at College Park Center, starting at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026. The Vaqueros are 4.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 139.5 points.

In its last time out, UT Arlington won on Monday 116-65 over Bethesda (CA). In UT Arlington's win, Noah Shelby led the way with a team-high 22 points (adding two rebounds and three assists). UT Rio Grande Valley is coming off of a 72-65 loss to Texas State in its last game on Tuesday. Jace Posey's team-leading 15 points paced UT Rio Grande Valley in the losing effort.

UT Arlington vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: College Park Center in Arlington, Texas
• Spread favorite: UT Arlington -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: UT Arlington -202
• Moneyline underdog: UT Rio Grande Valley +163
• Over/Under: 139.5 points

How to watch UT Arlington vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UT Arlington vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• Last season, UT Arlington's games finished over 139.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, 11 (out of 30) times.
• Last season, 18 of UT Rio Grande Valley's 31 games had a combined total higher than 139.5 points scored.
• The Mavericks and the Vaqueros combined to average 6.4 more points per game a season ago than the over/under of 139.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 3.3 fewer points per game (136.2) last season than this game's total of 139.5 points.
• The average point total in UT Arlington's games last year was 2.8 fewer points than the total of 139.5 in this matchup.
• The average point total for UT Rio Grande Valley in 2025 was 5.9 points higher than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: UT Arlington vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• UT Arlington compiled a 17-13-0 ATS record last year.
• The Mavericks were 4-1 ATS last season when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
• UT Rio Grande Valley covered 18 times in 31 games with a spread last year.
• The Vaqueros were an underdog by 4.5 points or more seven times last year, and covered the spread in five of those contests.
• UT Arlington was 7-4 against the spread, and 7-4 overall, at home last year.
• At home last season, as a 4.5-point favorite or greater, UT Arlington had two wins ATS (2-1).
• On the road last season, UT Rio Grande Valley was 8-8 overall and 12-5 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: UT Arlington vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• UT Arlington put together a 9-3 record in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 75% of those games).
• The Mavericks went 4-1 last year (winning 80% of their games) when they played as a moneyline favorite of -202 or shorter.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives UT Arlington a 66.9% chance to win.
• Last season, UT Rio Grande Valley was the underdog 11 times and won four, or 36.4%, of those games.
• The Vaqueros entered seven games last season as an underdog by +163 or more and were 1-6 in those contests.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 38.0% chance of a victory for UT Rio Grande Valley.

Dunkel Index Prediction for UT Arlington vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• Pick ATS: UT Rio Grande Valley (+ 4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (139.5)
  
• Prediction: UT Rio Grande Valley 70 - UT Arlington 67