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Senators vs. Penguins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 14

14 November 2026 By Data Skrive

Both the Ottawa Senators and Pittsburgh Penguins are coming off a victory, heading into their matchup at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET. The Penguins are underdogs despite being at home, at +114, and the Senators are -135.

Ottawa secured a 4-3 home victory against the Colorado Avalanche in its last game on Nov. 12. Shane Pinto's three points (two goals and one assist) led the Senators.

Pittsburgh got a 3-2 road victory over the San Jose Sharks on Nov. 11 in its last game, winning the shootout 1-0. Six Penguins players recorded one point each in that outing, including Benjamin Kindel (one goal) and Erik Karlsson (one assist).

Before watching this matchup, here is a peek at which team we pick to come out on top in Saturday's action on the ice.

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Senators vs. Penguins Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Ottawa Senators and Pittsburgh Penguins, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Penguins 4 - Senators 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Senators vs. Penguins Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Senators-Penguins matchup.

  • Favorite: Senators (-135)
  • Underdog: Penguins (+114)

Senators Betting Insights

  • In the 12 times this season the Senators have been a moneyline favorite, they have finished 8-4 in those games.
  • Ottawa is 4-2 (victorious in 66.7% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter.
  • Based on the moneyline in this game, the Senators' implied win probability is 57.4%.
  • In seven games this season, Ottawa and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Penguins Betting Insights

  • This season the Penguins have been an underdog 13 times, and won five, or 38.5%, of those games.
  • Pittsburgh has gone 2-5 when it's been set as an underdog of +114 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 46.7% chance of victory for the Penguins.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 12 of 19 games this season.

Senators Key Stats

  • Ottawa's 62 total goals (3.1 per game) rank 15th in the league.
  • The Senators have given up 60 total goals (3.0 per game), ranking 16th in NHL action in goals against.
  • Its goal differential (+2) ranks 14th in the league.
  • The nine power-play goals the Senators have recorded this season rank 27th in the NHL (on 77 power-play chances).
  • Ottawa ranks 31st in the league with an 11.69% power-play conversion rate.
  • The Senators have scored two shorthanded goals this season.
  • Ottawa kills 75.34% of opponent power plays, the 21st-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Ottawa wins the fifth-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 54%.
  • The Senators make 12.0% of their shots (11th in the league).

Penguins Key Stats

  • Pittsburgh's 59 goals on the season (3.1 per game) rank 18th in the league.
  • The Penguins give up 3.5 goals per game (66 in total), 22nd in the league.
  • Its -7 goal differential ranks 22nd in the league.
  • With 12 power-play goals (on 57 chances), the Penguins are 18th in the NHL.
  • Pittsburgh scores on 21.05% of its power plays, No. 17 in the league.
  • In terms of shorthanded goals, the Penguins have two.
  • The 78.85% penalty-kill percentage of Pittsburgh is 13th in the league.
  • At 46.4%, Pittsburgh has the NHL's 29th-ranked faceoff win percentage.
  • With a shooting percentage of 11.2%, the Penguins are 19th in the league.

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