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Lightning vs. Red Wings NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 14

14 November 2026 By Data Skrive

Two Eastern Conference squads, at different ends of the standings, face one another on Saturday, Nov. 14 when the second-place Tampa Bay Lightning (13-4-2) host the 13th-place Detroit Red Wings (7-10-3). Lightning (-225) versus Red Wings (+185) appears lopsided, according to the moneyline odds.

Tampa Bay secured a 3-1 road victory against the Columbus Blue Jackets in its last game on Nov. 12. Brandon Hagel led the Lightning with three points (two goals and one assist).

Detroit played on the road its last time out on Nov. 12, and fell 5-4 against the Florida Panthers. Moritz Seider's two points (two assists) in that matchup led the Red Wings.

Prepare for this matchup with a look at who we project to come out on top in Saturday's game.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Lightning vs. Red Wings Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Detroit Red Wings, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Lightning 5 - Red Wings 2
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Red Wings Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Red Wings matchup.

  • Favorite: Lightning (-225)
  • Underdog: Red Wings (+185)

Lightning Betting Insights

  • In the 15 times this season the Lightning have been a moneyline favorite, they have finished 11-4 in those games.
  • Tampa Bay has had four games with moneyline odds of -225 or shorter, and won each time.
  • The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Lightning have a 69.2% chance to win.
  • Tampa Bay's 19 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals 10 times.

Red Wings Betting Insights

  • The Red Wings have been an underdog in nine games this season, and won two (22.2%).
  • Detroit has played as a moneyline underdog of +185 or longer two times so far this season. They lost both games.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 35.1% chance of victory for the Red Wings.
  • Detroit has played 10 games this season that ended with over 6.5 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay's 74 total goals (3.9 per game) rank fourth in the NHL.
  • Defensively, the Lightning have been one of the stingiest units in NHL play, allowing 56 total goals (3.0 per game) to rank 10th.
  • Its goal differential (+18) makes the team sixth-best in the league.
  • The 14 power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season rank 13th in the NHL (on 66 power-play chances).
  • Tampa Bay is 16th in the league with a 21.21% power-play conversion rate.
  • Tampa Bay's 71.70% penalty-kill success rate ranks 25th in the league.
  • Tampa Bay wins 48.9% of its faceoffs (20th in NHL).
  • The Lightning have a 13.3% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks fourth in the league.

Red Wings Key Stats

  • Detroit has 53 goals this season (2.6 per game), 23rd in the NHL.
  • The Red Wings' total of 62 goals given up (3.1 per game) is 20th in the NHL.
  • it has the 24th-ranked goal differential in the league at -9.
  • With 13 power-play goals (on 63 chances), the Red Wings are 14th in the NHL.
  • Detroit's power-play percentage (20.63) puts the team 19th in the league.
  • The 70.49% penalty-kill percentage of Detroit is 27th in the NHL.
  • At 49.5%, Detroit has the league's 16th-ranked faceoff win percentage.
  • The Red Wings' 9.2% shooting percentage is 29th in the league.

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