Mississippi State vs. North Alabama Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 5
05 November 2025

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (0-0) host the North Alabama Lions (0-0) at Humphrey Coliseum, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 5, 2025. The Bulldogs are 24.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 151.5 points.
Mississippi State went 21-13 during the 2024-25 season. Last season, North Alabama finished 24-11 in the season.
Mississippi State vs. North Alabama Odds and Game Time
- When: Wednesday, November 5, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
- Where: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, Mississippi
- Spread favorite: Mississippi State -24.5
- Moneyline favorite: Mississippi State -7692
- Moneyline underdog: North Alabama +2267
- Over/Under: 151.5 points
How to watch Mississippi State vs. North Alabama
- TV Channel: SEC Network
- Live Stream: Fubo
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Mississippi State vs. North Alabama
- Of 34 games last year, Mississippi State played 17 with over 151.5 points scored, its current matchup's total.
- Last year, 13 of North Alabama's 31 matchups went over 151.5 total points scored.
- The Bulldogs and the Lions combined to average 6.7 more points per game a season ago than the over/under of 151.5 set for this game.
- The Bulldogs and the Lions saw their opponents average a combined 6.7 fewer points per game last season than the over/under of 151.5 set for this game.
- The average total Mississippi State had set in matchups last year was 2.2 more points than this outing's point total.
- North Alabama's games in 2024 averaged an over/under of 149.3 points, 2.2 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
Betting the Spread: Mississippi State vs. North Alabama
- Mississippi State covered 15 times in 34 games with a spread last season.
- The Bulldogs covered the spread once when favored by 24.5 points or more last season (in four opportunities).
- North Alabama won 20 games against the spread last year, while failing to cover 11 times.
- The Lions did not cover the spread when an underdog by 24.5 points or more last year (in one opportunity).
- Mississippi State was 6-9 against the spread, and 10-5 overall, at home last season.
- At home last year, Mississippi State had one win ATS (1-3) as a 24.5-point favorite or more.
- Away from home last season, North Alabama was 6-8 overall and 6-9 against the spread.
Betting the Moneyline: Mississippi State vs. North Alabama
- Mississippi State finished with a 19-8 record in games it was favored on the moneyline last season (winning 70.4% of those games).
- The Bulldogs won all four games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -7692 or shorter.
- Based on this matchup's moneyline, Mississippi State's implied win probability is 98.7%.
- Last season, North Alabama was the underdog nine times and won two of those games.
- The Lions played as an underdog of +2267 or more once last season and lost that game.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that North Alabama has a 4.2% chance to win.
Dunkel Index Prediction for Mississippi State vs. North Alabama
- Pick ATS: Mississippi State (- 24.5)
- Pick OU:
Under (151.5)
- Prediction: Mississippi State 90 - North Alabama 60
