Mercury vs. Storm: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 2

The Seattle Storm (5-15) will hope to break an eight-game road slide when visiting the Phoenix Mercury (7-13) on Thursday, July 2, 2026 at Mortgage Matchup Center, airing at 10 p.m. ET on CW Seattle, AZFamily, and Amazon Prime Video.

Phoenix beat Toronto 89-80 in its last game. Kahleah Copper led the way with 27 points, followed by Valeriane Ayayi with 20 points and six rebounds.

Seattle won at home over Atlanta 105-90 last time out, and were led by Flau'jae Johnson (24 PTS, 11 REB, 2 STL, 75.0 FG%, 2-3 from 3PT) and Awa Fam (21 PTS, 88.9 FG%, 5-6 from 3PT).

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Mercury vs. Storm Betting Lines

Grab a peek below at the latest betting lines for the Mercury-Storm game.

• Favorite: Mercury (-5.5)
• Total: 167.5
• Mercury Moneyline: -235
• Storm Moneyline: +186

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Mercury Betting Insights

• Based on this game's moneyline, the Mercury's implied win probability is 70.1%.
• Phoenix has won 50% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (3-3).
• The Mercury are 8-12-0 ATS this season.
• In 10 games this season, Phoenix and its opponents have gone over 167.5 total points.
• Mercury outings this year have an average point total of 168.9, 1.4 more points than this game's over/under.

Storm Betting Insights

• The Storm have a 35.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Seattle has won four, or 22.2%, of the 18 games it has played as the underdog this season.
• The Storm have covered 11 times in 20 matchups with a spread this season.
• Seattle has played nine games this season that ended with a combined score over 167.5 points.
• The average total for Storm games this season is 164.9 points, 2.6 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Mercury vs. Storm

• Phoenix records 84.0 points per game, only 2.2 fewer points than the 86.2 Seattle gives up.
• The Mercury are 5-3 when scoring more than 86.2 points.
• So far in the 2026 season, Phoenix scores 6.1 more points per home game than on the road (87.6 at home, 81.5 on the road), and is also allowing 11.0 more points per home game compared to road games (93.4 at home, 82.4 on the road).
• Seattle puts up an average of 81.1 points per game, 5.7 fewer points than the 86.8 Phoenix gives up.
• The Storm have put together a 4-3 record in games when they've scored more than 86.8 points.
• Seattle puts up more points per game at home (84.8) than on the road (76.6), and also allows fewer points at home (83.5) than on the road (89.4).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.