Mercury vs. Storm: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 2

The Seattle Storm (5-15) will hope to break an eight-game road skid when visiting the Phoenix Mercury (7-13) on Thursday, July 2, 2026 at Mortgage Matchup Center, airing at 10 p.m. ET on CW Seattle, AZFamily, and Amazon Prime Video.

Phoenix picked up an 89-80 victory against Toronto in their last outing. The team was led by Kahleah Copper's 27 points and Valeriane Ayayi's 20 points and six rebounds.

In its previous game, Seattle defeated Atlanta 105-90 at home, with Flau'jae Johnson (24 PTS, 11 REB, 2 STL, 75 FG%, 2-3 from 3PT) and Awa Fam (21 PTS, 88.9 FG%, 5-6 from 3PT) leading the way.

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Mercury vs. Storm Betting Lines

Grab a look below at the latest betting lines for the Mercury-Storm game.

• Favorite: Mercury (-3.5)
• Total: 167.5
• Mercury Moneyline: -176
• Storm Moneyline: +142

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Mercury Betting Insights

• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Mercury a 63.8% chance to win.
• Phoenix has been a moneyline favorite six times this season. They've gone 3-3 in those games.
• The Mercury are 8-12-0 ATS this season.
• Phoenix's 20 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 167.5 points 10 times.
• The Mercury have an average total of 168.9 in their outings this year, 1.4 more points than this game's over/under.

Storm Betting Insights

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 41.3% chance of a victory for the Storm.
• This season, Seattle has been the underdog 18 times and won four, or 22.2%, of those games.
• The Storm have put together an 11-9-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Seattle has combined with its opponent to score more than 167.5 points in nine of 20 games this season.
• Storm games this season have had an average of 164.9 points, 2.6 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Mercury vs. Storm

• Phoenix records 84 points per game, only 2.2 fewer points than the 86.2 Seattle gives up.
• When the Mercury put up more than 86.2 points, they are 5-3.
• Phoenix has been much better offensively at home, where it averages 87.6 points per game, compared to on the road, where it puts up 81.5 per game. Defensively, it is much worse when playing at home, where it surrenders 93.4 points per game, versus on the road, where it allows opponents to average 82.4 per game.
• Seattle's 81.1 points per game are 5.7 fewer points than the 86.8 Phoenix allows.
• The Storm have put together a 4-3 record in games when they've scored more than 86.8 points.
• At home, Seattle puts up 84.8 points per game, 8.2 more than away (76.6). Defensively, it allows 83.5 points per game at home, 5.9 fewer than on the road (89.4).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.