Lynx vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 13

Kahleah Copper and the Phoenix Mercury (8-16) battle Olivia Miles and the Minnesota Lynx (17-6) on Monday, July 13, 2026 at Target Center, at 9 p.m. ET on Peacock, NBC Sports, Victory+, and AZFamily.

Minnesota, led by Kayla McBride with 23 points, picked up a 90-85 win against New York in their most recent game. Miles added 23 points and four assists.

In its previous game, Phoenix fell to Las Vegas, 106-58, on the road. Its top performers were Monique Akoa Makani (13 PTS, 38.5 FG%, 3-7 from 3PT) and Lexi Held (11 PTS, 50 FG%).

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Lynx vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the latest betting lines for the Lynx-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Lynx (-11.5)
• Total: 169.5
• Lynx Moneyline: -699
• Mercury Moneyline: +470

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Lynx Betting Insights

• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Lynx an 87.5% chance to win.
• Minnesota has put together a 14-4 record in games when it was listed as a moneyline favorite (winning 77.8% of those games).
• The Lynx have put together a 14-9-0 record against the spread this season.
• Minnesota's 23 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 169.5 points 14 times.
• The average point total in Lynx matchups this year is 169.5, which equals this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Mercury based on the moneyline is 17.5%.
• This season, Phoenix has won four out of the 15 games, or 26.7%, in which it has been the underdog.
• The Mercury have won nine games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 15 times.
• Phoenix has played nine games this season that have gone over 169.5 combined points scored.
• The average total for Mercury games this season is 169.1 points, 0.4 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Lynx vs. Mercury

• Minnesota averages just 3.4 more points per game (90.0) than Phoenix gives up (86.6).
• The Lynx are 11-3 when scoring more than 86.6 points.
• In 2026, Minnesota's offense has been better at home, where it averages 91.4 points per game, compared to road games, where it records 88.8 per game. Defensively, it has been slightly worse when playing at home, where it concedes 81.0 points per game, versus road games, where it allows its opponents to average 80.8 per game.
• Phoenix averages just 1.7 more points per game (82.6) than Minnesota allows (80.9).
• The Mercury have gone 6-6 when they've scored more than 80.9 points.
• Phoenix averages 86.0 points per game at home, 6.3 more than on the road (79.7). Defensively, it allows 89.4 per game, 5.2 more than on the road (84.2).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.