Aces vs. Fever: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 12

Kelsey Mitchell and the Indiana Fever (13-9) battle A'ja Wilson and the Las Vegas Aces (17-6) on Sunday, July 12, 2026 at Michelob ULTRA Arena, tipping off at 9 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock.

In its last outing, Las Vegas picked up a 106-58 win over Phoenix. The Aces were led by Wilson, who wound up with 21 points and 15 rebounds, while Justine Pissott added 19 points.

Indiana were winners on the road over Phoenix 92-89 last time out, and were led by Mitchell (29 PTS, 8 AST, 3 STL, 45.5 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT) and Aliyah Boston (21 PTS, 9 REB, 56.3 FG%, 3-5 from 3PT).

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Aces vs. Fever Betting Lines

Take a look below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Aces-Fever game.

• Favorite: Aces (-4.5)
• Total: 180.5
• Aces Moneyline: -194
• Fever Moneyline: +156

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Aces Betting Insights

• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Aces' implied win probability is 66.0%.
• Las Vegas has won 73.9% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (17-6).
• The Aces have put together a 13-10-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Las Vegas' 23 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 180.5 points 10 times.
• The average total in Aces games this season is 173.8, 6.7 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Fever Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Fever based on the moneyline is 39.1%.
• This season, Indiana has won two out of the five games in which it has been the underdog.
• The Fever have won 10 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• Indiana has combined with its opponents to score more than 180.5 points in 11 of 22 games this season.
• Fever matchups this season have a 175.5-point average over/under, 5.0 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Aces vs. Fever

• Las Vegas puts up just 0.9 more points per game (90.6) than Indiana allows (89.7).
• The Aces have a 12-1 record when scoring more than 89.7 points.
• Las Vegas' offense has been much worse in home games (89.5 PPG) compared to away games (91.5 PPG). Similarly, its defense has been worse at home (85.7 PPG allowed) compared to its play on the road (84.2 PPG allowed).
• Indiana puts up an average of 93.3 points per game, 8.4 more points than the 84.9 Las Vegas allows.
• The Fever have gone 10-7 when they've scored more than 84.9 points.
• Indiana averages 99.3 points per game at home, 13.2 more than away (86.1). Defensively, it concedes 91.3 per game, 3.5 more than on the road (87.8).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.