Liberty vs. Tempo: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 12

The Toronto Tempo (9-13) will turn to Marina Mabrey (third in WNBA, 21.2 points per game) to help beat Breanna Stewart (sixth in league, 20.3) and the New York Liberty (13-10) on Sunday, July 12, 2026 at Bell Centre, at 3 p.m. ET on NBA TV, FOX5 New York, and TSN.

New York suffered defeat by a final score of 90-85 in its last game against Minnesota. Leading the way on offense for the Liberty was Sabrina Ionescu, who ended the game with 17 points, eight rebounds, five assists and two steals. Stewart posted 17 points, seven rebounds and two steals.

In its most recent game, Toronto lost at home to Dallas, 108-95. Its top performers were Mabrey (34 PTS, 55.6 FG%, 6-9 from 3PT) and Laura Juskaite (25 PTS, 62.5 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT).

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Liberty vs. Tempo Betting Lines

Grab a look below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Liberty-Tempo matchup.

• Favorite: Liberty (-6.5)
• Total: 176.5
• Liberty Moneyline: -245
• Tempo Moneyline: +194

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Liberty Betting Insights

• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Liberty's implied win probability is 71.0%.
• New York has compiled a 10-8 record in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 55.6% of those games).
• The Liberty have won 11 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• New York's 23 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 176.5 points 10 times.
• The average point total in Liberty matchups this year is 170.9, 5.6 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Tempo Betting Insights

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 34.0% chance of a victory for the Tempo.
• Toronto has been the underdog in 14 games this season and won four (28.6%) of those contests.
• The Tempo have covered 11 times in 22 games with a spread this year.
• Toronto has played 13 games this season that finished with a combined score over 176.5 points.
• The average total for Tempo games this season is 172.9 points, 3.6 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Liberty vs. Tempo

• New York averages just 4.4 fewer points per game (87.7) than Toronto gives up (92.1).
• When the Liberty put up more than 92.1 points, they are 7-2.
• In the 2026 campaign, New York is scoring 7.3 fewer points per home game than on the road (84.2 at home, 91.5 on the road), and is also giving up nine fewer points per home game compared to road games (79.8 at home, 88.8 on the road).
• Toronto puts up an average of 89.6 points per game, 5.5 more points than the 84.1 New York gives up.
• The Tempo have gone 9-5 when they've scored more than 84.1 points.
• Toronto averages fewer points per game at home (86.9) than on the road (92.8), but also allows fewer at home (87.5) than on the road (97.6).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.