Lynx vs. Liberty: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 3

Breanna Stewart and the New York Liberty (12-8) match up against Olivia Miles and the Minnesota Lynx (15-4) on Friday, July 3, 2026 at Barclays Center, at 7:30 p.m. ET on ION.

Minnesota earned an 85-77 win against Dallas in their last outing. The team was led by Miles' 21 points and eight assists and Natasha Howard's 21 points, 14 rebounds and three steals.

New York won at home over Las Vegas, 93-85, in its last game. Its top performers were Sabrina Ionescu (26 PTS, 5 AST, 47.4 FG%, 5-13 from 3PT) and Stewart (25 PTS, 11 REB, 2 STL, 2 BLK, 56.3 FG%).

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Lynx vs. Liberty Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Lynx-Liberty matchup.

• Favorite: Lynx (-1.5)
• Total: 173.5
• Lynx Moneyline: -128
• Liberty Moneyline: +104

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Lynx Betting Insights

• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Lynx a 56.1% chance to win.
• Minnesota has been favored on the moneyline 14 times this season. They've gone 12-2 in those games.
• The Lynx are 14-5-0 ATS this season.
• Minnesota's 19 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 173.5 points eight times.
• The Lynx have had an average of 169.5 points in their games this season, 4.0 fewer than this matchup's total.

Liberty Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Liberty based on the moneyline is 49.0%.
• New York has been the underdog in three games this season and won two (66.7%) of those contests.
• The Liberty have won nine games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 11 times.
• New York has played nine games this season that ended with a combined score over 173.5 points.
• The average total for Liberty games this season is 170.5 points, 3.0 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Lynx vs. Liberty

• Minnesota puts up 90.5 points per game, 7.0 more points than the 83.5 New York gives up.
• The Lynx have a 12-2 record when scoring more than 83.5 points.
• Minnesota's offense has been much better in home games (91.8 PPG) compared to road games (89.3 PPG). Meanwhile, its defense has been worse in home games (79.6 PPG allowed) when compared to road games (79.1 PPG allowed).
• New York averages 8.5 more points per game (87.8) than Minnesota allow (79.3).
• The Liberty have gone 11-4 when they've scored more than 79.3 points.
• New York averages fewer points per game at home (83.4) than away (92.2), but also concedes fewer at home (78.3) than away (88.7).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.