Lynx vs. Liberty: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 3

Breanna Stewart and the New York Liberty (12-8) go up against Olivia Miles and the Minnesota Lynx (15-4) on Friday, July 3, 2026 at Barclays Center, at 7:30 p.m. ET on ION.

In its last outing, Minnesota picked up an 85-77 victory against Dallas. The Lynx were led by Miles, who wound up with 21 points and eight assists, while Natasha Howard added 21 points, 14 rebounds and three steals.

New York won at home over Las Vegas 93-85 last time out, and were led by Sabrina Ionescu (26 PTS, 5 AST, 47.4 FG%, 5-13 from 3PT) and Stewart (25 PTS, 11 REB, 2 STL, 2 BLK, 56.3 FG%).

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Lynx vs. Liberty Betting Lines

Take a look below at the latest betting lines for the Lynx-Liberty game.

• Favorite: Lynx (-1.5)
• Total: 173.5
• Lynx Moneyline: -134
• Liberty Moneyline: +110

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Lynx Betting Insights

• Based on this game's moneyline, the Lynx's implied win probability is 57.3%.
• Minnesota has won 12 of the 14 games when it was a moneyline favorite this season (85.7%).
• The Lynx are 14-5-0 ATS this season.
• In eight games this season, Minnesota and its opponents have gone over 173.5 total points.
• The average total in Lynx games this season is 169.5, 4.0 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Liberty Betting Insights

• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 47.6% chance of a victory for the Liberty.
• This season, New York has been the underdog three times and won two of those games.
• The Liberty have won nine games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 11 times.
• New York's games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 173.5 points in nine of 20 outings.
• The Liberty have had an average of 170.5 points scored in their games so far this season, 3.0 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Lynx vs. Liberty

• The 90.5 points per game Minnesota records are seven more points than New York allows (83.5).
• When the Lynx score more than 83.5 points, they are 12-2.
• During the 2026 season, Minnesota is scoring 2.5 more points per home game than on the road (91.8 at home, 89.3 on the road), and is also giving up 0.5 more points per home game compared to road games (79.6 at home, 79.1 on the road).
• New York scores an average of 87.8 points per game, 8.5 more points than the 79.3 Minnesota allows.
• The Liberty have gone 11-4 when they've scored more than 79.3 points.
• In 2026 New York is scoring fewer points at home (83.4 per game) than away (92.2). But it also is giving up fewer points at home (78.3) than on the road (88.7).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.