Lightning vs. Red Wings NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 17

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Detroit Red Wings are coming off a defeat and a win, respectively, heading into their meeting at Little Caesars Arena on Friday at 7 p.m. ET. The oddsmakers have made the Lightning solid favorites at -155 on the moneyline, despite being the visitors, and the Red Wings are at +130.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which team will secure the win in Friday's hockey action.

Lightning vs. Red Wings Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Detroit Red Wings, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Red Wings 4 - Lightning 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.96 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Red Wings Moneylines

Take a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Red Wings matchup.

• Favorite: Lightning (-155)
• Underdog: Red Wings (+130)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning won 41 of their 64 games when favored on the moneyline last season (64.1%).
• Tampa Bay had a 30-15 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -155 or shorter.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Lightning a 60.8% chance to win.
• In 37 games last season, Tampa Bay and its opponent combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Red Wings Betting Insights

• The Red Wings were listed as an underdog 61 times last season, and won 27, or 44.3%, of those games.
• Detroit had a record of 12-23, a 34.3% win rate, when set as an underdog by +130 or more last season.
• The Red Wings have a 43.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Detroit and its opponent combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 36 of 82 games last season.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay was the highest-scoring unit in the league last season with 292 goals (3.6 per game, with 6.1 assists per contest).
• The Lightning conceded 216 total goals (2.6 per game), the fourth-fewest in NHL play.
• It had the league's second-best goal differential at +76.
• The 60 power-play goals the Lightning scored last season (on 232 power-play chances) were the fifth-most in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay ranked fifth in the league with a 25.86% power-play conversion rate.
• The 11 shorthanded goals the Lightning scored last season ranked third among NHL squads.
• Tampa Bay's 81.55% penalty-kill success rate was the sixth-best in the league.
• Tampa Bay won 50.1% of its faceoffs (16th in NHL).
• The Lightning shot 12.5% as a team (second in the league).

Red Wings Key Stats

• Detroit's 235 goals last season (2.9 per game) ranked 22nd in the league.
• The Red Wings allowed 259 total goals (3.2 per game), 21st in the league.
• Its -24 goal differential was 24th in the league.
• The Red Wings had a league-leading 65 power-play goals on 237 chances.
• Detroit's power-play percentage (27.43) ranked the team fourth in the league.
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Red Wings had two.
• At 70.27%, Detroit had the 32nd-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Detroit won 49% of faceoffs, 22nd in the NHL.
• The Red Wings' 10.5% shooting percentage was 17th in the league.