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Capitals vs. Wild NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 17

17 October 2025 By Data Skrive

The Washington Capitals and Minnesota Wild are coming off a win and a defeat, respectively, heading into their matchup at Capital One Arena on Friday at 7 p.m. ET. The oddsmakers have made the Capitals solid favorites at -130 on the moneyline, and the Wild are at +110.

Get ready for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will emerge with the victory in Friday's hockey action.

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Capitals vs. Wild Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Washington Capitals and Minnesota Wild, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Wild 4 - Capitals 3
  • Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.04 goals)

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Capitals vs. Wild Moneylines

Grab a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Capitals-Wild game.

  • Favorite: Capitals (-130)
  • Underdog: Wild (+110)

Capitals Betting Insights

  • The Capitals put together a 33-18 record when listed as a moneyline favorite last season.
  • Washington was 32-15 when it played as a moneyline favorite of -130 or shorter.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Capitals' implied win probability is 56.5%.
  • Washington and its opponent went over 5.5 combined goals in 49 of 92 games last season.

Wild Betting Insights

  • The Wild were an underdog in 46 games last season, and won 19 (41.3%).
  • Last season Minnesota won 17 of its 39 games, or 43.6%, when an underdog by at least +110 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 47.6% chance of victory for the Wild.
  • Minnesota combined with its opponent to score more than 5.5 goals in 42 of 88 games last season.

Capitals Key Stats

  • Washington scored the second-most goals in the league last season (286 total, 3.5 per game).
  • The Capitals allowed 229 total goals (2.8 per game), ranking eighth in league play for the fewest goals against.
  • It had the league's fourth-best goal differential at +57.
  • The 52 power-play goals the Capitals recorded last season (13th in the NHL) came via 221 power-play chances.
  • Washington had the league's 14th-ranked power-play conversion rate (23.53%).
  • The Capitals scored eight shorthanded goals last season (10th among NHL squads).
  • Washington had the league's fifth-best penalty-kill percentage (82.01%).
  • Washington won 50.1% of its faceoffs (16th in NHL).
  • The Capitals shot 12.6% as a team (No. 1 in the league).

Wild Key Stats

  • Minnesota had 225 goals last season (2.7 per game), 25th in the league.
  • The Wild's total of 236 goals allowed (2.9 per game) was 15th in the league.
  • It had the 18th-ranked goal differential in the league at -11.
  • With 43 power-play goals (on 207 chances), the Wild were 21st in the NHL.
  • Minnesota's power-play percentage (20.77) ranked the team 20th in the league.
  • The Wild had four shorthanded goals (21st in NHL).
  • Minnesota had the 30th-ranked penalty kill percentage (72.41%).
  • At 46.7%, Minnesota had the NHL's 29th-ranked faceoff win rate.
  • The Wild's 10% shooting percentage was 25th in the league.

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