Lightning vs. Panthers NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Feb. 5

The Tampa Bay Lightning (36-14-4) host the Florida Panthers (29-24-3) on Thursday, Feb. 5, with both teams coming off a victory. The oddsmakers have made the Lightning solid favorites at -185 on the moneyline, and the Panthers are at +154.

Tampa Bay grabbed a 4-3 victory at home its last time out on Feb. 3 against the Buffalo Sabres. Nikita Kucherov's four points (one goal and three assists) led the Lightning.

Florida got a 5-4 home victory over the Boston Bruins on Feb. 4 in its last game, winning the shootout 2-1. Anton Lundell's three points (one goal and two assists) in that matchup led the Panthers.

Here is our pick for who will capture the victory in Thursday's matchup.

Lightning vs. Panthers Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 4 - Panthers 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.06 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Panthers Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Panthers matchup.

• Favorite: Lightning (-185)
• Underdog: Panthers (+154)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning have won 65.9% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (29-15).
• Tampa Bay is 9-3 (winning 75.0% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -185 or shorter.
• The Lightning have a 64.9% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this matchup.
• In 23 of 54 matches this season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Panthers Betting Insights

• The Panthers have been made an underdog 16 times this season, and won 12, or 75.0%, of those games.
• Florida has played as an underdog of +154 or more in one game this season and lost.
• The implied probability of a win by the Panthers, based on the moneyline, is 39.4%.
• Florida has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 29 of 56 games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 189 total goals (3.5 per game) make it the eighth-highest scoring team in the NHL.
• Defensively, the Lightning have been one of the stingiest squads in NHL action, conceding 137 total goals (2.5 per game) to rank second.
• Its +52 goal differential is the second-best in the league.
• The 37 power-play goals the Lightning have put up this season rank 13th in the NHL (on 170 power-play chances).
• Tampa Bay's 21.76% power-play conversion rate ranks 14th in the league.
• The three shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 20th among NHL teams.
• Tampa Bay has the league's fourth-best penalty-kill percentage (83.93%).
• Tampa Bay has the 29th-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 47%.
• The Lightning make 12.5% of their shots (third in the league).

Panthers Key Stats

• Florida's 169 goals on the season (3.0 per game) rank 19th in the NHL.
• The Panthers have allowed 184 total goals this season (3.3 per game), 25th in the league.
• With a goal differential of -15, the team is 23rd in the league.
• The Panthers have 39 power-play goals (on 204 chances), eighth in the NHL.
• Florida's power-play percentage (19.12) ranks the team 20th in the league.
• This season, the Panthers have six shorthanded goals (seventh in league).
• At 82.74%, Florida has the sixth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Florida wins 47.4% of faceoffs, 27th-ranked in the NHL.
• The Panthers' 10.5% shooting percentage is 22nd in the league.