Aces vs. Fever: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Sept. 27

In Game 1 of the first round of the WNBA Playoffs, the Las Vegas Aces will go up against the Indiana Fever.

Las Vegas prevailed by a final score of 100-82 in its last game against Phoenix. Leading the way on offense for the Aces was A'ja Wilson, who wound up with 25 points, 10 rebounds and four assists. Jewell Loyd posted 25 points.

Indiana won on the road over Minnesota 66-86 last time out, and were led by Kelsey Mitchell (10 PTS, 25 FG%, 2-6 from 3PT) and Grace VanSlooten (9 PTS, 100 FG%).

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Aces vs. Fever Betting Lines

Take a look below at the most recent betting lines for the Aces-Fever matchup.

• Favorite: Aces (-3.5)
• Total: 182.5
• Aces Moneyline: -160
• Fever Moneyline: +130

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Aces Betting Insights

• The Aces have an implied moneyline win probability of 61.5% in this matchup.
• Las Vegas has won 75% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (30-10).
• The Aces have covered 25 times in 44 matchups with a spread this season.
• Las Vegas and its opponents have combined to score more than 182.5 points in 16 of 44 games this season.
• The average total in Aces games this season is 175.7, 6.8 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Fever Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Fever based on the moneyline is 43.5%.
• Indiana has won five, or 45.5%, of the 11 games it has played as the underdog this season.
• The Fever have won 22 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 22 times.
• Indiana has combined with its opponent to score more than 182.5 points in 25 of 44 games this season.
• The Fever have had an average of 179.9 points scored in their games so far this season, 2.6 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Aces vs. Fever

• Las Vegas records 91.5 points per game, only 1.1 more points than the 90.4 Indiana gives up.
• The Aces are 21-2 when scoring more than 90.4 points.
• So far in the 2026 season, Las Vegas is scoring 2.9 fewer points per home game than on the road (90.0 at home, 92.9 on the road), and is also giving up 0.6 fewer points per home game compared to road games (85.5 at home, 86.1 on the road).
• Indiana puts up 10.2 more points per game (96.0) than Las Vegas give up (85.8).
• The Fever have gone 24-9 when they've scored more than 85.8 points.
• At home, Indiana is better offensively, scoring 99.1 points per game, compared to 92.8 on the road. But it is not as good defensively, conceding 90.5 points per game at home, and 90.3 on the road.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.