Lynx vs. Liberty: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Sept. 27
25 September 2026

The Minnesota Lynx will go up against the New York Liberty in Game 1 of the opening round of the WNBA Playoffs.
Last time out, Minnesota earned an 86-66 win versus Indiana. The Lynx were led by Kayla McBride's 22 points and Natasha Howard's 21 points, eight rebounds and three blocks.
New York were winners at home over Atlanta 65-83 last time out, and were led by Marine Fauthoux (14 PTS, 50 FG%) and Han Xu (11 PTS, 36.4 FG%).
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Lynx vs. Liberty Betting Lines
Grab a look below at the most recent betting lines for the Lynx-Liberty matchup.
- Favorite: Lynx (-6.5)
- Total: 173.5
- Lynx Moneyline: -265
- Liberty Moneyline: +210
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Lynx Betting Insights
- The Lynx have an implied moneyline win probability of 72.6% in this game.
- Minnesota has gone 29-8 in games as a moneyline favorite (winning 78.4% of those games).
- The Lynx are 22-22-0 ATS this season.
- In 24 games this season, Minnesota and its opponents have scored more than 173.5 total points.
- The average total in Lynx games this year is 173.6, 0.1 more than this matchup's over/under.
Liberty Betting Insights
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Liberty have a 32.3% chance to win.
- New York has won four of the 10 games it has played as the underdog this season.
- The Liberty have put together a 17-27-0 ATS record so far this season.
- New York has played 27 games this season that have gone over 173.5 combined points scored.
- Liberty outings this season have a 174.8-point average over/under, 1.3 more points than this game's point total.
Key Stats for Lynx vs. Liberty
- Minnesota averages only 4.4 more points per game (90.8) than New York gives up (86.4).
- The Lynx are 23-3 when scoring more than 86.4 points.
- Minnesota has been better offensively at home, where it averages 92.3 points per game, compared to road games, where it averages 89.4 per game. Defensively, it is worse at home, where it allows 85.0 points per game, versus road games, where it allows its opponents to score 82.4 per game.
- New York puts up an average of 89.6 points per game, 5.9 more points than the 83.7 Minnesota gives up.
- The Liberty have gone 23-10 when they've scored more than 83.7 points.
- At home, New York is not as good offensively, putting up 86.0 points per game, compared to 93.2 on the road. But it is better defensively, giving up 81.7 points per game at home, compared to 91.1 away.
All Media on this page by Associated Press.
