Dream vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Aug. 5

Kahleah Copper and the Phoenix Mercury (12-19) play Allisha Gray and the Atlanta Dream (18-11) on Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at Gateway Center Arena, at 7 p.m. ET on WANF, Peachtree Sports Network, and Victory+.

In its last game, Atlanta took a loss by a final score of 109-87 versus Las Vegas. The Dream were led by Angel Reese's 23 points and 16 rebounds and Rhyne Howard's 19 points.

Phoenix fell on the road to Chicago 101-106 last time out, and were led by Copper (31 PTS, 52.6 FG%, 4-8 from 3PT) and Kelsey Plum (20 PTS, 60 FG%, 3-5 from 3PT).

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Dream vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the most recent betting lines for the Dream-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Dream (-5.5)
• Total: 182.5
• Dream Moneyline: -215
• Mercury Moneyline: +172

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Dream Betting Insights

• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Dream a 68.3% chance to win.
• Atlanta has won 17 of the 26 games when it was a moneyline favorite this season (65.4%).
• The Dream have put together an 11-18-0 ATS record so far this year.
• In 11 of 29 games this season, Atlanta and its opponents have combined to score more than 182.5 points.
• Dream outings this year have an average total of 171.3, 11.2 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 36.8% chance of a victory for the Mercury.
• Phoenix has won six, or 31.6%, of the 19 games it has played as the underdog this season.
• The Mercury have put together a 15-16-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Phoenix has combined with its opponent to score more than 182.5 points in eight of 31 games this season.
• The average total for Mercury games this season is 169.1 points, 13.4 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Dream vs. Mercury

• The 89.3 points per game Atlanta puts up are only two more points than Phoenix gives up (87.3).
• The Dream are 12-3 when scoring more than 87.3 points.
• During the 2026 season, Atlanta is scoring 7.2 more points per home game than on the road (92.8 at home, 85.6 on the road), and is also giving up 4.2 more points per home game compared to road games (88.1 at home, 83.9 on the road).
• Phoenix scores just 1.8 fewer points per game (84.3) than Atlanta gives up to opponents (86.1).
• When they score more than 86.1 points, the Mercury are 8-6.
• At home Phoenix averages 85.6 points per game, 2.6 more than away (83). Defensively, it gives up 88.3 points per game at home, 1.9 more than on the road (86.4).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.