Northern Kentucky vs. South Dakota Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 4
04 November 2026

The Northern Kentucky Norse (1-0) visit the South Dakota Coyotes (1-0) at Sanford Coyote Sports Center, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. The Coyotes are 2.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 159.5 points.
Northern Kentucky heads into this game after an 84-76 victory against UTEP on Monday. Willie Foster's team-leading 24 points led Northern Kentucky in the victory. In its last game on Monday, South Dakota claimed a 95-57 victory over Mount Marty. In South Dakota's win, Jahni Summers led the way with 17 points (adding three rebounds and one assist).
Northern Kentucky vs. South Dakota Odds and Game Time
- When: Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Sanford Coyote Sports Center in Vermillion, South Dakota
- Spread favorite: Northern Kentucky -2.5
- Moneyline favorite: Northern Kentucky -138
- Moneyline underdog: South Dakota +113
- Over/Under: 159.5 points
How to watch Northern Kentucky vs. South Dakota
- TV Channel: Summit League Network
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Northern Kentucky vs. South Dakota
- Northern Kentucky played 13 games with over 159.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, last year.
- A total of 17 South Dakota's games last season (out of 29) had more than 159.5 total points scored.
- These teams averaged a combined 162.7 points per game a season ago, 3.2 more points than the over/under of 159.5 set for this game.
- Opponents of these teams averaged a combined 157.7 points per game last season, 1.8 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
- Northern Kentucky's average point total in outings last year was 160.6, 1.1 points higher than the total in this game.
- The average total for South Dakota's games in 2025 was 0.3 more points than the point total of 159.5 in this outing.
Betting the Spread: Northern Kentucky vs. South Dakota
- Northern Kentucky compiled a 13-18-0 ATS record last year.
- The Norse covered the spread nine times last season (9-11 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
- South Dakota put together a 16-13-0 ATS record last year.
- The Coyotes were an underdog by 2.5 points or more 15 times last year, and covered the spread in seven of those games.
- South Dakota was 9-5 against the spread, and 9-5 overall, at home last year.
- At home last year, South Dakota was 5-2 ATS as a 2.5-point underdog or greater.
- In away games last season, Northern Kentucky was 6-8 overall and 5-10 against the spread.
- Away from home, Northern Kentucky had one win ATS (1-4) as a 2.5-point favorite or more.
Betting the Moneyline: Northern Kentucky vs. South Dakota
- Northern Kentucky finished 13-7 in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 65% of those games).
- In games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -138 or shorter, the Norse had a 13-7 record (winning 65% of their games).
- Based on this matchup's moneyline, Northern Kentucky has an implied win probability of 58.0%.
- Last season, South Dakota was the underdog 17 times and won four, or 23.5%, of those games.
- The Coyotes were 3-13 last season when entering a game as an underdog by +113 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 46.9% chance of a victory for South Dakota.
