Saint Mary's (CA) vs. North Dakota State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 4

The Saint Mary's Gaels (1-0) host the North Dakota State Bison (1-0) at University Credit Union Pavilion, tipping off at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. The Gaels are 13.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has a point total of 148.5.

Their last time out, Saint Mary's (CA) won on Monday 90-85 over Illinois State in overtime. Mantas Juzenas' team-high 20 points led Saint Mary's (CA) in the victory. North Dakota State's most recent contest on Monday ended in a 90-59 win over Minnesota-Crookston. Andy Stefonowicz scored 18 points in North Dakota State's win, leading the team.

Saint Mary's (CA) vs. North Dakota State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, California
• Spread favorite: Saint Mary's (CA) -13.5
• Moneyline favorite: Saint Mary's (CA) -1124
• Moneyline underdog: North Dakota State +686
• Over/Under: 148.5 points

How to watch Saint Mary's (CA) vs. North Dakota State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Saint Mary's (CA) vs. North Dakota State

• Saint Mary's (CA)'s games went over 148.5 points scored, its current matchup's over/under, 11 times (out of 31) last season.
• North Dakota State played 17 games last season (53.1% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 148.5 points.
• These teams averaged a combined 157.6 points per game a season ago, 9.1 more points than the total of 148.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 13.8 fewer points per game (134.7) last season than this matchup's over/under of 148.5 points.
• The average point total in Saint Mary's (CA)'s games last year was 6.7 fewer points than the total of 148.5 in this matchup.
• North Dakota State's games in 2025 averaged an over/under of 150.6 points, 2.1 more than the point total in this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Saint Mary's (CA) vs. North Dakota State

• Saint Mary's (CA) put together a 17-14-0 record against the spread last season.
• The Gaels were favored by 13.5 points or more 13 times last season, and covered the spread in eight of those games.
• North Dakota State went 18-14-0 ATS last year.
• The Bison did not cover the spread last season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 13.5-point underdogs.
• At home last season, Saint Mary's (CA) was 15-0 overall and 11-4 against the spread.
• Last year, as a 13.5-point favorite or greater at home, Saint Mary's (CA) was 7-4 ATS.
• In away games last season, North Dakota State was 10-5 overall and 9-6 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Saint Mary's (CA) vs. North Dakota State

• Saint Mary's (CA) won 88.9% of the games last season in which it was favored on the moneyline (24-3).
• The Gaels won all 13 games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -1124 or shorter.
• Saint Mary's (CA) has an implied moneyline win probability of 91.8% in this matchup.
• North Dakota State was underdogs in seven games last season and won two (28.6%) of those contests.
• The Bison played as an underdog of +686 or more once last season and lost that game.
• North Dakota State has a 12.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Saint Mary's (CA) vs. North Dakota State

• Pick ATS: Saint Mary's (CA) (- 13.5)
• Pick OU: Over (148.5)
  
• Prediction: Saint Mary's (CA) 87 - North Dakota State 67