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Lightning vs. Red Wings NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 3

03 November 2026 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Lightning (8-3-2) host the Detroit Red Wings (7-5-3) on Tuesday, Nov. 3, with the Lightning coming off a loss in their last game and the Red Wings a victory. Lightning (-265) versus Red Wings (+215) appears like a mismatch, according to the moneyline odds.

Tampa Bay fell short in a shootout on the road its last time out on Oct. 31 against the Nashville Predators 5-4, losing the shootout 1-0 to seal the defeat. Nikita Kucherov's three points (three assists) led the Lightning.

Detroit won on the road in its most recent game on Nov. 2, 5-3 over the Florida Panthers. Four Red Wings players had two points each in that matchup, including Andrew Copp (two assists) and Justin Faulk (one goal and one assist).

As hockey action continues, get ready for the matchup by checking out which team we predict will pick up the victory in Tuesday's game.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Lightning vs. Red Wings Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Detroit Red Wings, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Red Wings 4 - Lightning 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Red Wings Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Red Wings game.

  • Favorite: Lightning (-265)
  • Underdog: Red Wings (+215)

Lightning Betting Insights

  • The Lightning have been victorious in seven of their 10 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (70.0%).
  • Tampa Bay has had moneyline odds of -265 or shorter in just two games this season, and won both.
  • The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Lightning have a 72.6% chance to win.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in seven of 13 games this season.

Red Wings Betting Insights

  • This season the Red Wings have won two of the four games in which they've been an underdog.
  • Detroit has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +215 moneyline in this matchup.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Red Wings, based on the moneyline, is 31.7%.
  • Detroit has played nine games this season that finished with over 6.5 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay ranks 12th in the league with 48 goals scored (3.7 per game).
  • The Lightning have allowed 42 total goals (3.2 per game), the eighth-fewest in league play.
  • It has the league's 10th-best goal differential at +6.
  • The seven power-play goals the Lightning have put up this season (on 46 power-play chances) rank 24th in the NHL.
  • Tampa Bay has the league's 28th-ranked power-play conversion rate (15.22%).
  • Tampa Bay has the league's 18th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (77.14%).
  • Tampa Bay has the 25th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 47.5%.
  • The Lightning make 12.3% of their shots (eighth in the league).

Red Wings Key Stats

  • With 44 goals (2.9 per game), Detroit has the league's 19th-ranked offense.
  • The Red Wings have allowed 44 total goals this season (2.9 per game), 13th in the NHL.
  • Its 0 goal differential ranks 17th in the league.
  • The Red Wings have 12 power-play goals (on 51 chances), 10th in the NHL.
  • Detroit has the league's 11th-ranked power-play percentage (23.53%).
  • The 70.21% penalty-kill percentage of Detroit is 25th in the NHL.
  • At 50.3%, Detroit has the league's 15th-ranked faceoff win percentage.
  • The 9.9% shooting percentage of the Red Wings is 25th in the league.

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