Bills vs. Vikings Week 9 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

Having won three straight, the Buffalo Bills (6-1) will play the Minnesota Vikings (6-1). The Bills are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 45.5.

On the offensive side of the ball, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking second-best in the NFL by putting up 393.1 yards per game. They rank 24th on defense (352.1 yards allowed per game). While the Vikings' offense has been sputtering, ranking fourth-worst with 279.4 total yards per game, their defense ranks second-best with only 271.6 total yards allowed per contest.

Bills vs. Vikings Odds and Game Time

• Date: Monday, November 9, 2026
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• City: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
• Total: 45.5 points
• Spread: Bills -3.5
• Moneyline: Bills (-175), Vikings (+145)

How to watch Bills vs. Vikings

• TV Channel: ABC/ESPN

Betting the Over/Under: Bills vs. Vikings

• The Bills and their opponents have gone over 45.5 combined points in six of seven games this season.
• Buffalo games have hit the over five out of seven times this season.
• The Vikings and their opponents have scored more than 45.5 combined points just once this season.
• Minnesota games have hit the over just once this season.
• The teams combine to score 53.3 points per game, 7.8 more points than this matchup's total.
• These two teams together surrender 39.2 points per game, 6.3 fewer than this contest's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Bills vs. Vikings

• Buffalo has put together a 5-2-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Buffalo has covered the spread twice when favored by 3.5 points or more this season (in four opportunities).
• The Vikings have compiled a 4-3-0 record against the spread this year.
• Minnesota has covered the spread once this year (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
• The Vikings have covered the spread once at home, and are 3-0 overall there this year.
• In away games, the Bills have two wins against the spread and are 3-0 overall.
• Away from home, Buffalo is winless ATS (0-1) as 3.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Bills vs. Vikings

• Buffalo has gone 5-1 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 83.3% of those games).
• The Vikings have split the two games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Buffalo is 3-1 (winning 75% of its games) when it have played as a moneyline favorite of -175 or shorter.
• Minnesota has played as an underdog of +145 or more once this season and won that game.
• The Bills have a 63.6% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Bills vs. Vikings

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