Cincinnati vs. Dayton Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 14

The Cincinnati Bearcats (2-1) visit the Dayton Flyers (1-2) at UD Arena, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026. The Flyers are 6.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has a point total of 147.5.

Their last time out, Cincinnati lost 63-61 to Minnesota on Monday. Tylen Riley's team-high 25 points paced Cincinnati in the losing effort. Dayton is coming off of a 99-89 loss to Siena in its most recent game on Tuesday. Aiden Derkack put up 25 points, 10 rebounds and four assists for Dayton.

Cincinnati vs. Dayton Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio
• Spread favorite: Cincinnati -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Cincinnati -304
• Moneyline underdog: Dayton +238
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch Cincinnati vs. Dayton

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Cincinnati vs. Dayton

• Cincinnati and its opponent combined to score over 147.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 13 of 33 games last season.
• Last season, 14 of Dayton's 34 games had a combined total higher than 147.5 points scored.
• The two teams averaged a combined 0.3 fewer points per game (147.2) a season ago than this game's total of 147.5 points.
• Opponents of these two teams averaged a combined 136.9 points per game last season, 10.6 fewer than the over/under for this game.
• The average over/under Cincinnati had set in matchups last year was 6.8 fewer points than this outing's point total.
• Dayton's games in 2025 averaged a total of 143.4 points, 4.1 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Cincinnati vs. Dayton

• Cincinnati went 14-19-0 ATS last season.
• The Bearcats covered the spread five times last season (5-7 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
• Dayton covered 15 times in 34 games with a spread last season.
• The Flyers were an underdog by 6.5 points or more three times last year, and covered the spread in one of those games.
• Dayton was 8-9 against the spread, and 14-3 overall, at home last season.
• At home last season, as a 6.5-point underdog or more, Dayton was 5-8 ATS.
• Cincinnati was 3-7 against the spread, and 2-8 overall, away from home last season.

Betting the Moneyline: Cincinnati vs. Dayton

• Cincinnati won 15 of the 19 games it was favored on the moneyline last season (78.9%).
• When they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -304 or shorter, the Bearcats had a 10-1 record (winning 90.9% of their games).
• Cincinnati has a 75.2% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.
• Dayton was an underdog 11 times last season and won five, or 45.5%, of those games.
• Last season, the Flyers were at least a +238 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Dayton has a 29.6% chance to win.