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Red Sox vs. Rays Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 21

21 September 2025 By Data Skrive

The Boston Red Sox have a 2-0 series lead, hoping to sweep the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday at George M. Steinbrenner Field, at 7:35 p.m. ET. Connelly Early (1-0, 0.87 ERA) will start for the Red Sox, who are 85-70 this season and third in the AL East. Joe Boyle (1-3, 4.64 ERA) is starting for the Rays, who are 75-80 and fourth in the AL East.

Oddsmakers have set the Red Sox as the moderate moneyline favorites (-128) on the road versus the Rays (+108). The total in this contest is 8.

Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Sunday, September 21, 2025
  • Game time: 7:35 p.m. ET
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Stadium: George M. Steinbrenner Field
  • Favorite: Red Sox (-128)
  • Underdog: Rays (+108)
  • Over/under: 8

How to Watch Red Sox vs. Rays

  • TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
  • Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

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Red Sox vs. Rays: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Red Sox have won 56 of the 96 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (58.3%).
  • Tampa Bay has come away with 31 wins in the 76 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Boston has a record of 35-26, a 57.4% win rate, when favored by -128 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • This season, the Rays have been victorious 19 times in 43 chances when named as an underdog of at least +108 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have a 56.1% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 48.1% chance of walking away with the win.

Red Sox vs. Rays: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Red Sox have had an over/under set by bookmakers 154 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 73 of those games (73-75-6).
  • Games involving Tampa Bay have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 68 of 155 chances this season.
  • The Red Sox have put together a 79-75-0 record against the spread this season (covering 51.3% of the time).
  • The Rays are 71-84-0 against the spread in their 155 games that had a posted line this season.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Red Sox vs. Rays

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